Texas · Monthly

September 2026

Final Issued 2026-10-21 · version 1 · Baseline 1991-2020 · next update 2026-11-10

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1 Key messages and climate synopsis

Statewide mean temperature of 29.0 °C (+4.3 °C relative to 1991–2020): the warmest September in the 1979–2026 series.
Statewide precipitation of 45.1 mm, 58% of normal: the 10th driest September in the 1979–2026 series.
The highest maximum temperature at GHCN stations was 45.6 °C at San Saba 7NW on 17 September.
The largest 24-hour rainfall at GHCN stations was 134.6 mm at Centerville on 4 September.
21 station records were broken (stations with at least 20 years of data).
Maximum temperature exceeded its 90th percentile on 69% of days (statewide mean; 10% expected).
Statewide heat waves: 2; cold waves: 0.
2 tropical cyclones passed within 300 km of the state; landfalls: Edouard in Jefferson (tropical storm).
U.S. Drought Monitor: 92% of the state in drought (D1–D4) on 29 September 2026 (+34 points since 25 August 2026).
El Niño conditions of very strong intensity in the equatorial Pacific (ONI JAS 2026: +2.2 °C).

Source: NOAA NCEI

Mean temperature

29.0°C

+4.3 °C vs. normal (normal 24.6)

Extremely above normal

1st warmest of 48 (1979–2026)

Maximum temperature

35.7°C

+4.4 °C vs. normal (normal 31.2)

Extremely above normal

1st warmest of 48 (1979–2026)

Minimum temperature

22.3°C

+4.2 °C vs. normal (normal 18.0)

Extremely above normal

1st warmest of 48 (1979–2026)

Precipitation

45.1mm

58% of normal (normal 78.2)

Below normal

10th driest of 48 (1979–2026)

Station records

Source: NOAA NCEI

2 Global and regional climate drivers

Sea-surface temperature anomaly, September 2026 (°C, 1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI / PSL

Sea-surface temperature anomaly in the Niño regions (°C)

Region	Anomaly (°C)	Change from preceding period (°C)
Niño 1+2	4.7	0.6
Niño 3	3.6	0.5
Niño 3.4	2.8	0.3
Niño 4	0.9	0.0

Mean of the months in the period (OISST v2.1)

Source: NOAA CPC

El Niño conditions of very strong intensity: the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) for JAS 2026 was +2.2 °C.

Source: NOAA CPC

Monthly Niño 3.4 anomaly, last 24 months (°C)

Source: NOAA CPC

MJO phase diagram (real-time OMI)

Source: NOAA PSL

Teleconnection indices

Index	Value	Phase
NAO	0.5	Positive
AO	1.2	Positive
PDO	−1.6	Negative

North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO); Arctic Oscillation (AO); Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).

Source: NOAA CPC, NOAA NCEI

The Niño 3.4 anomaly was +2.84 °C (+0.32 °C relative to the preceding period).

The MJO was active on 3 of 30 days, most often in phase 2 (Indian Ocean); mean amplitude 0.7.

Other indices: NAO +0.53 (positive phase); AO +1.16 (positive phase); PDO −1.55 (negative phase).

3 Precipitation

Statewide precipitation

45.1mm

58% of normal (normal 78.2)

Below normal

10th driest of 48 (1979–2026)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Accumulated precipitation

Source: NOAA NCEI

Percent of normal precipitation (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Percent of normal by county

Source: NOAA NCEI

Precipitation by region

Region	Total (mm)	Normal (mm)	Difference (%)	Category
High Plains	116.5	52.1	123.5	Much above normal
Low Rolling Plains	27.1	67.8	−60.1	Much below normal
North Central	17.7	80.1	−78.0	Much below normal
East Texas	54.6	98.2	−44.4	Below normal
Trans Pecos	59.1	46.1	28.2	Above normal
Edwards Plateau	24.3	71.5	−66.0	Much below normal
South Central	15.4	100.3	−84.7	Much below normal
Upper Coast	64.9	137.7	−52.9	Below normal
Southern	7.9	97.9	−91.9	Much below normal
Lower Valley	8.4	125.7	−93.3	Much below normal

Source: NOAA NCEI

Stations with the largest precipitation excess

Region	County	Station	Altitude (m)	Anomaly (%)
High Plains	Hartley	Dalhart Faa AP	1216.0	442.8
High Plains	Hutchinson	Sanford Dam	895.0	420.1
High Plains	Potter	Amarillo	1129.0	360.9
High Plains	Parmer	Friona	1227.0	301.7
High Plains	Oldham	Boys Rch	973.0	272.2
High Plains	Castro	Hart	1116.0	259.7
High Plains	Hale	Plainview	1027.0	234.3
High Plains	Cochran	Morton	1148.0	228.3
High Plains	Hale	Plainview Water Production	1052.0	224.0
High Plains	Yoakum	Plains	1120.0	223.8

Source: NOAA NCEI

Stations with the largest precipitation deficit

Region	County	Station	Altitude (m)	Anomaly (%)
North Central	Stephens	Breckenridge	357.0	−100.0
North Central	Delta	Cooper	148.0	−100.0
Southern	Webb	Encinal	166.0	−100.0
North Central	Bell	Killeen	248.0	−100.0
Low Rolling Plains	Taylor	Tuscola 2NW	611.0	−100.0
Southern	La Salle	Los Angeles 4 WSW	128.0	−100.0
Edwards Plateau	Uvalde	Sabinal	290.0	−100.0
North Central	Navarro	Corsicana Campbell Fld	135.0	−100.0
North Central	Tarrant	Ft Worth Nas	185.0	−100.0
Lower Valley	Hidalgo	Mcallen	34.0	−99.2

Source: NOAA NCEI

Largest 24-hour rainfall at stations

Station	County	Max 24 h rainfall (mm)	Date
Centerville	Leon	134.6	2026-09-04
Sanford Dam	Hutchinson	115.8	2026-09-30
Bushland 1 WSW	Potter	110.7	2026-09-30
Gruver	Hansford	101.6	2026-09-30
Port Arthur City	Jefferson	91.7	2026-09-04
Town Bluff Dam	Tyler	88.9	2026-09-02
Lumberton	Hardin	86.4	2026-09-02
Port Arthur SE Tx Rgnl AP	Jefferson	84.6	2026-09-01
Nacogdoches	Nacogdoches	81.5	2026-09-03
Randall 10SE	Randall	81.3	2026-09-30

Source: NOAA NCEI

Daily statewide mean precipitation

Source: NOAA NCEI

Daily statewide mean and grid-cell maximum

Day	Statewide mean (mm)	Grid maximum (mm)	County
2026-09-01	0.0	2.3	Jeff Davis
2026-09-02	1.5	63.1	Jefferson
2026-09-03	4.3	74.1	Houston
2026-09-04	1.8	57.1	Leon
2026-09-05	1.4	20.7	Pecos
2026-09-06	1.1	17.6	Shelby
2026-09-07	0.5	22.8	Montgomery
2026-09-08	0.0	2.7	Titus
2026-09-09	0.2	8.2	Jefferson
2026-09-10	0.5	10.4	Kenedy
2026-09-11	1.8	40.1	Parker
2026-09-12	1.1	31.3	Tarrant
2026-09-13	0.0	5.6	Lipscomb
2026-09-14	0.1	5.8	DeWitt
2026-09-15	0.2	6.3	Oldham
2026-09-16	1.5	25.8	Terry
2026-09-17	0.1	10.7	El Paso
2026-09-18	1.0	56.6	Aransas
2026-09-19	0.8	19.6	Kenedy
2026-09-20	2.4	28.3	Brewster
2026-09-21	0.7	28.7	Llano
2026-09-22	0.3	17.5	Erath
2026-09-23	2.3	31.3	El Paso
2026-09-24	2.3	74.3	Dallam
2026-09-25	3.7	55.7	Parmer
2026-09-26	3.2	46.5	Hale
2026-09-27	0.6	18.8	Coleman
2026-09-28	0.3	27.3	Burnet
2026-09-29	1.5	17.5	Crockett
2026-09-30	9.9	101.2	Moore

Source: NOAA NCEI

Statewide precipitation in September of each year

Source: NOAA NCEI

Statewide accumulated precipitation was 45.1 mm, 58% of the 1991–2020 average (78.2 mm), category “Below normal”. It was the 10th driest September in the 1979–2026 series.

The region with the highest percentage of normal was High Plains (224%) and the lowest was Lower Valley (7%).

The largest daily grid-cell total was estimated on 30 September in Moore (101.2 mm).

Source: NOAA NCEI

4 Temperature

Mean temperature

29.0°C

+4.3 °C vs. normal (normal 24.6)

Extremely above normal

1st warmest of 48 (1979–2026)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Mean temperature

Source: NOAA NCEI

Mean temperature anomaly (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Mean temperature anomaly by region

Source: NOAA NCEI

Stations with the largest positive anomaly

Region	County	Station	Altitude (m)	Anomaly (°C)
Low Rolling Plains	King	Guthrie	536.0	6.7
Low Rolling Plains	Baylor	Lake Kemp	356.0	6.6
Edwards Plateau	Reagan	Cope Rch	756.0	6.4
Low Rolling Plains	Knox	Truscott 3 W	479.0	6.1
Low Rolling Plains	Stonewall	Aspermont	535.0	6.1
Low Rolling Plains	Dickens	Spur	700.0	6.0
Low Rolling Plains	Scurry	Snyder	707.0	6.0
Low Rolling Plains	Jones	Stamford 1	491.0	5.9
High Plains	Lipscomb	Follett	844.0	5.8
Low Rolling Plains	King	Paducah 15S	566.0	5.8

Source: NOAA NCEI

Statewide mean temperature anomaly in September of each year

Source: NOAA NCEI

The statewide mean temperature was 29.0 °C, 4.3 °C above the 1991–2020 average (24.6 °C), category “Extremely above normal”. It was the warmest September in the 1979–2026 series.

By region, the largest anomaly was in Low Rolling Plains (+5.6 °C) and the smallest in Upper Coast (+2.7 °C).

Source: NOAA NCEI

Maximum temperature

35.7°C

+4.4 °C vs. normal (normal 31.2)

Extremely above normal

1st warmest of 48 (1979–2026)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Maximum temperature anomaly (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Lowest and highest monthly mean maximum temperature by region

Region	Lowest value (°C)	Station	Highest value (°C)	Station
High Plains	31.8	Dalhart Faa AP	35.9	Big Spring Wrinkle AP
Low Rolling Plains	34.7	Snyder Winston Fld AP	38.6	Lake Kemp
North Central	34.6	Sherman	39.9	Comanche Co City AP
East Texas	33.4	Town Bluff Dam	39.2	Mt Pleasant
Trans Pecos	29.7	Chisos Basin	40.0	Rio Grande Village
Edwards Plateau	33.8	Harper 3ENE	37.9	Cope Rch
South Central	33.4	Corpus Christi Nas	37.6	Beeville 5 NE
Upper Coast	32.0	Orange 9 N	37.0	Victoria Rgnl AP
Southern	36.2	Mathis 4 SSW	39.5	Freer
Lower Valley	33.9	Port Isabel	39.6	Mcallen Miller Intl AP

Station monthly means (GHCN-Daily, ≥ 80% of days with data).

Source: NOAA NCEI

Daily statewide maximum temperature

Source: NOAA NCEI

The statewide maximum temperature was 35.7 °C, 4.4 °C above the 1991–2020 average (31.2 °C), category “Extremely above normal”. It was the warmest September in the 1979–2026 series.

By region, the largest anomaly was in Low Rolling Plains (+5.8 °C) and the smallest in Upper Coast (+2.6 °C).

Source: NOAA NCEI

Minimum temperature

22.3°C

+4.2 °C vs. normal (normal 18.0)

Extremely above normal

1st warmest of 48 (1979–2026)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Minimum temperature anomaly (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI

Lowest and highest monthly mean minimum temperature by region

Region	Lowest value (°C)	Station	Highest value (°C)	Station
High Plains	16.2	Muleshoe Nwr	23.6	Midland Airpark
Low Rolling Plains	20.8	Memphis	24.3	Lake Kemp
North Central	21.9	Comanche Co City AP	26.1	Dallas Faa AP
East Texas	20.5	Jefferson	24.1	College Stn Easterwood Fld
Trans Pecos	19.2	Alpine Casparis AP	25.1	Castolon
Edwards Plateau	20.4	Eldorado	25.4	Del Rio Intl AP
South Central	22.7	Dripping Springs 6 E	27.3	Corpus Christi Nas
Upper Coast	21.8	Orange 9 N	26.7	Galveston Scholes Fld
Southern	23.0	Armstrong 4SE	25.7	Laredo Intl AP
Lower Valley	24.5	Harlingen Rio Grande Vly Intl	27.5	Edinburg 17 NNE

Station monthly means (GHCN-Daily, ≥ 80% of days with data).

Source: NOAA NCEI

Daily statewide minimum temperature

Source: NOAA NCEI

The statewide minimum temperature was 22.3 °C, 4.2 °C above the 1991–2020 average (18.0 °C), category “Extremely above normal”. It was the warmest September in the 1979–2026 series.

By region, the largest anomaly was in Low Rolling Plains (+5.5 °C) and the smallest in Upper Coast (+2.9 °C).

Source: NOAA NCEI

5 Climate extremes and records

Highest maximum temperature

45.6°C

San Saba 7NW · 2026-09-17

Lowest minimum temperature

11.1°C

Muleshoe #1 · 2026-09-28

Highest 24 h rainfall

134.6mm

Centerville · 2026-09-04

Source: NOAA NCEI

Highest maximum temperature by county

County	Station	Temperature (°C)	Date
San Saba	San Saba 7NW	45.6	2026-09-17
McMullen	Cross	43.9	2026-09-20
Brewster	Rio Grande Village	43.3	2026-09-04
Comanche	Comanche Co City AP	43.3	2026-09-03
Baylor	Lake Kemp	42.8	2026-09-13
Knox	Truscott 3 W	42.8	2026-09-14
Reagan	Cope Rch	42.8	2026-09-04
Hall	Memphis	42.2	2026-09-13
King	Paducah 15S	42.2	2026-09-13
Shackelford	Ft Griffin	42.2	2026-09-04
Stonewall	Aspermont	42.2	2026-09-04
Webb	Laredo Intl AP	42.2	2026-09-03
Wichita	Wichita Falls Muni AP	42.2	2026-09-12
Childress	Childress 2	41.7	2026-09-08
Cottle	Paducah 7E	41.7	2026-09-13
Duval	Freer	41.7	2026-09-03
Hidalgo	Mcallen Miller Intl AP	41.7	2026-09-10
Jones	Stamford 1	41.7	2026-09-13
Motley	Matador	41.7	2026-09-13
Reeves	Pecos Muni AP	41.7	2026-09-12

The 20 most extreme of 172.

Source: NOAA NCEI

Lowest minimum temperature by county

County	Station	Temperature (°C)	Date
Bailey	Muleshoe #1	11.1	2026-09-28
Hutchinson	Sanford Dam	11.1	2026-09-22
Castro	Hart	11.7	2026-09-22
Parmer	Friona	12.8	2026-09-28
Lipscomb	Follett	13.3	2026-09-22
Hansford	Gruver	13.9	2026-09-23
Hartley	Dalhart Faa AP	13.9	2026-09-22
Jeff Davis	Mt Locke	13.9	2026-09-29
Swisher	Tulia	13.9	2026-09-28
Cochran	Morton	14.4	2026-09-26
Harrison	Marshall	14.4	2026-09-25
Lamb	Littlefield	14.4	2026-09-28
Marion	Jefferson	14.4	2026-09-26
Oldham	Boys Rch	14.4	2026-09-22
Potter	Bushland 1 WSW	14.4	2026-09-28
Cass	Atlanta	15.0	2026-09-26
Crosby	Crosbyton	15.0	2026-09-20
Franklin	Mt Vernon	15.0	2026-09-25
San Augustine	San Augustine	15.0	2026-09-25
Brewster	Alpine Casparis AP	15.6	2026-09-28

The 20 most extreme of 173.

Source: NOAA NCEI

Station records broken

Station	County	Variable	New value	Date	Previous record	Previous date
Abernathy	Hale	Highest maximum temperature	40.0	2026-09-05	39.4	2023-09-08
Abilene 6ESE	Taylor	Highest maximum temperature	41.7	2026-09-04	41.1	2012-09-08
Armstrong 4SE	Kenedy	Highest maximum temperature	41.1	2026-09-03	40.6	2005-09-26
Bushland 1 WSW	Potter	Highest 24 h rainfall	110.7	2026-09-30	74.9	2014-09-06
Centerville	Leon	Highest 24 h rainfall	134.6	2026-09-04	115.3	1961-09-12
Cope Rch	Reagan	Highest maximum temperature	42.8	2026-09-04	42.2	2023-09-05
Cross	McMullen	Highest maximum temperature	43.9	2026-09-20	42.8	2005-09-26
Denver City	Yoakum	Highest maximum temperature	40.6	2026-09-13	40.0	2023-09-09
Friona	Parmer	Highest 24 h rainfall	77.7	2026-09-25	71.4	1999-09-16
Gruver	Hansford	Highest 24 h rainfall	101.6	2026-09-30	95.8	1960-09-23
Matador	Motley	Highest maximum temperature	41.7	2026-09-13	41.1	1977-09-27
Morton	Cochran	Highest maximum temperature	41.1	2026-09-13	40.0	2023-09-09
Plainview Water Production	Hale	Highest 24 h rainfall	53.8	2026-09-26	44.5	2007-09-07
San Saba 7NW	San Saba	Highest maximum temperature	45.6	2026-09-17	42.8	2000-09-05
Sanford Dam	Hutchinson	Highest 24 h rainfall	115.8	2026-09-30	91.4	2004-09-23
Silverton	Briscoe	Highest maximum temperature	40.0	2026-09-04	39.4	2000-09-11
Tahoka	Lynn	Highest maximum temperature	40.6	2026-09-12	40.0	1930-09-19
Texline	Dallam	Highest 24 h rainfall	79.8	2026-09-24	63.0	2013-09-12
Vigo Park	Swisher	Highest maximum temperature	41.1	2026-09-05	39.4	2023-09-08
Muleshoe 19 S	Bailey	Highest maximum temperature	39.5	2026-09-12	39.2	2023-09-07
Laredo Intl AP	Webb	Highest maximum temperature	42.2	2026-09-03	41.1	2012-09-04

Most extreme daily value of the period against the same period in all earlier years of record (at least 20 years; for weeks, the same calendar month).

Source: NOAA NCEI

Climate-extremes indices (statewide mean)

Index	Description	Value	Normal	Difference	Unit
TX90p	Warm days (Tmax > 90th percentile)	68.9	10.0	58.9	%
TN90p	Warm nights (Tmin > 90th percentile)	75.4	10.0	65.4	%
TX10p	Cool days (Tmax < 10th percentile)	0.2	10.0	−9.8	%
TN10p	Cold nights (Tmin < 10th percentile)	0.0	10.0	−10.0	%
FD	Frost days (Tmin < 0 °C)	0.0	0.0	−0.0	d
SU	Summer days (Tmax > 25 °C)	29.8	27.8	2.0	d
TR	Tropical nights (Tmin > 20 °C)	24.6	11.4	13.2	d
WSDI	Warm spell days (≥ 6 days)	15.0	—	—	d
CSDI	Cold spell days (≥ 6 days)	0.0	—	—	d
Rx1day	Maximum 1-day precipitation	19.8	30.9	−11.0	mm
Rx5day	Maximum 5-day precipitation	29.5	51.5	−22.0	mm
CDD	Consecutive dry days (< 1 mm)	16.0	13.0	3.0	d
CWD	Consecutive wet days (≥ 1 mm)	2.1	3.2	−1.1	d

Percentile indices relative to calendar-day percentiles of 1991–2020 (5-day window); counts and maxima averaged over the state's grid cells.

Source: NOAA NCEI

Heat and cold waves

Dates	Type	Details
2026-09-01 – 2026-09-18	Heat wave	Up to 98% of the state above the 90th percentile of Tmax. Regions: High Plains, Low Rolling Plains, North Central, East Texas, Trans Pecos, Edwards Plateau, South Central, Upper Coast, Southern and Lower Valley.
2026-09-20 – 2026-09-24	Heat wave	Up to 79% of the state above the 90th percentile of Tmax. Regions: Low Rolling Plains, North Central, East Texas, Edwards Plateau, South Central, Upper Coast, Southern and Lower Valley.

Wave: at least 3 consecutive days with at least half of the state above the 90th percentile of maximum temperature (heat) or below the 10th percentile of minimum temperature (cold). At most the 10 most intense are listed.

Source: NOAA NCEI

6 Drought

U.S. Drought Monitor, 29 September 2026

Source: National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA

Share of the state by drought category, weekly U.S. Drought Monitor maps (%)

Map of	None (%)	D0–D4 (%)	D1–D4 (%)	D2–D4 (%)	D3–D4 (%)	D4 (%)
2026-09-01	8.2	91.8	69.1	27.4	11.0	2.6
2026-09-08	6.7	93.3	74.0	35.9	13.7	3.4
2026-09-15	3.5	96.5	81.0	42.6	18.0	3.6
2026-09-22	3.1	96.9	84.2	54.2	19.8	4.2
2026-09-29	1.3	98.7	91.9	67.8	26.4	3.6

Cumulative shares: D1–D4 is the share in moderate drought or worse.

Source: National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA

Counties with the most severe drought, U.S. Drought Monitor of 29 September 2026 (% of the county)

County	D0–D4 (%)	D1–D4 (%)	D2–D4 (%)	D3–D4 (%)	D4 (%)
Wilbarger	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	82.6
Kenedy	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	75.6
Hardeman	100.0	100.0	100.0	92.9	70.8
Willacy	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	70.0
Dallas	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	68.1
Foard	100.0	100.0	100.0	97.1	67.2
Wichita	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	61.4
Cameron	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	59.2
Hood	100.0	100.0	100.0	97.5	58.5
Gray	100.0	100.0	100.0	97.2	55.2

Cumulative shares: D1–D4 is the share in moderate drought or worse.

Source: National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA

Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) ending September 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI

Share of the state by SPI category

Source: NOAA NCEI

Counties with the lowest SPI-3

County	SPI-1	SPI-3	SPI-6	SPI-12	Category
Willacy	−3.0	−3.0	−0.2	−0.9	Extreme drought
Cameron	−2.8	−2.8	−0.4	−1.3	Extreme drought
Duval	−3.0	−2.6	−0.3	−1.2	Extreme drought
Kenedy	−2.4	−2.6	−0.2	−0.8	Extreme drought
Zapata	−2.4	−2.5	−0.2	−1.2	Extreme drought
Jim Wells	−2.4	−2.4	0.2	−0.7	Extreme drought
McMullen	−2.1	−2.3	0.3	−0.7	Extreme drought
Live Oak	−1.9	−2.2	0.2	−0.7	Extreme drought
Starr	−2.6	−2.2	−0.3	−1.2	Extreme drought
Jim Hogg	−2.9	−2.2	−0.5	−1.5	Extreme drought

Source: NOAA NCEI

U.S. Drought Monitor, map of 29 September 2026: 92% of the state in drought (D1–D4), 68% in severe drought or worse (D2–D4) and 26% in extreme or exceptional drought (D3–D4); 99% was abnormally dry or in drought (D0–D4).

On the map of 25 August 2026, 57% of the state was in drought: a change of +34 points over the period.

Counties with the largest share in severe drought or worse (D2–D4): Cameron (100%), Camp (100%) and Clay (100%).

SPI-3 (Jul–Sep 2026): statewide mean −0.66; 34% of the state in drought (SPI ≤ −1.0) and 15% in severe or extreme drought.

Most affected counties: Willacy (−2.95), Cameron (−2.83) and Duval (−2.65).

SPI-1 (September 2026): 43% of the state in drought.

SPI-6 (Apr–Sep 2026): 4% of the state in drought.

SPI-12 (Oct 2025–Sep 2026): 33% of the state in drought.

7 Severe weather and notable events

Tracks of nearby tropical cyclones

Source: NOAA NCEI

Tropical cyclones within 300 km of the state

Name	Basin	Peak intensity	Maximum wind (km/h)	Start	End	Closest approach (km)	Landfall	Landfall intensity
Edouard	North Atlantic	Tropical storm	93	2026-08-28	2026-09-03	0	Jefferson	Tropical storm
Polo	Eastern North Pacific	Category 5 hurricane	287	2026-09-17	2026-09-30	272	—	—

Source: NOAA NCEI

Tropical cyclones within 300 km of the state: 2 (Edouard and Polo).

Landfalls: Edouard in Jefferson (tropical storm).

9 Outlook

Outlook for October 2026: most likely tercile

Source: NOAA CPC

Outlook for Oct–Dec 2026: most likely tercile

Source: NOAA CPC

Probability of each tercile by region, Oct–Dec 2026 (%)

Region	Precipitation: below	Precipitation: normal	Precipitation: above	Temp.: below	Temp.: normal	Temp.: above
High Plains	25.0	31.0	44.0	27.0	32.0	40.0
Low Rolling Plains	22.0	32.0	46.0	28.0	31.0	41.0
North Central	11.0	27.0	61.0	31.0	32.0	37.0
East Texas	12.0	26.0	61.0	29.0	33.0	38.0
Trans Pecos	18.0	33.0	49.0	29.0	35.0	37.0
Edwards Plateau	13.0	31.0	56.0	30.0	33.0	37.0
South Central	7.0	29.0	64.0	29.0	32.0	39.0
Upper Coast	9.0	30.0	61.0	27.0	33.0	40.0
Southern	10.0	29.0	61.0	30.0	34.0	36.0
Lower Valley	12.0	26.0	62.0	16.0	32.0	52.0

Source: NOAA CPC

ENSO outlook: probability of each phase (%)

Source: NOAA CPC

Probabilistic outlook from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME), initialised in October 2026, relative to 1991–2020 terciles. It is not an official forecast: consult the National Weather Service and NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

Precipitation, October 2026: above normal is favoured over 78% of the state and below normal over 0%.

Mean temperature, October 2026: above normal is favoured over 17% of the state and below normal over 0%.

Precipitation, Oct–Dec 2026: above normal is favoured over 98% of the state and below normal over 0%.

Mean temperature, Oct–Dec 2026: above normal is favoured over 23% of the state and below normal over 0%.

Probability of El Niño in the official ENSO outlook: SON 100%, OND 100%, NDJ 100% and DJF 100%.

10 Annexes

Report climate regions

Monthly precipitation by region (mm)

Region	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep
High Plains	12.9	5.5	1.6	10.5	49.0	64.9	32.5	24.1	116.5
Low Rolling Plains	18.6	16.7	9.8	59.8	56.7	72.3	56.3	5.1	27.1
North Central	33.9	30.6	49.8	130.8	103.3	105.3	69.1	1.9	17.7
East Texas	67.8	38.0	61.3	118.3	126.6	141.7	89.0	15.1	54.6
Trans Pecos	22.0	3.8	1.1	20.2	31.5	39.8	49.5	14.3	59.1
Edwards Plateau	22.4	12.7	32.5	105.6	112.8	54.9	138.9	12.0	24.3
South Central	24.0	15.1	26.5	115.4	201.1	139.0	73.0	13.2	15.4
Upper Coast	57.6	36.3	50.6	85.1	219.5	191.0	131.5	18.3	64.9
Southern	5.9	2.4	12.6	67.4	150.6	104.6	38.6	7.7	7.9
Lower Valley	5.4	0.1	3.3	80.4	110.9	109.7	12.2	19.8	8.4

CSV

Source: NOAA NCEI

Monthly maximum temperature by region (°C)

Region	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep
High Plains	12.7	19.9	26.1	26.7	28.5	33.9	35.7	37.5	33.7
Low Rolling Plains	14.2	21.4	27.4	27.9	29.6	34.9	36.5	39.3	36.5
North Central	14.8	22.0	26.3	25.8	28.3	33.0	35.6	38.7	36.7
East Texas	15.5	21.8	26.2	26.6	28.2	32.3	34.3	37.3	35.1
Trans Pecos	15.8	22.9	28.9	27.8	31.5	35.9	34.9	37.0	34.5
Edwards Plateau	16.8	23.2	27.8	26.3	29.0	33.6	34.2	37.6	36.3
South Central	19.5	25.0	28.3	27.9	29.8	32.8	34.9	37.5	36.5
Upper Coast	18.9	23.4	26.1	27.1	29.0	32.0	33.7	35.5	34.3
Southern	21.6	27.2	30.7	29.0	31.6	34.3	36.6	38.8	37.8
Lower Valley	23.1	27.8	30.6	29.4	32.1	34.2	36.4	37.9	37.2

CSV

Source: NOAA NCEI

Monthly mean temperature by region (°C)

Region	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep
High Plains	4.3	10.6	16.0	17.9	20.5	26.5	28.1	29.2	26.6
Low Rolling Plains	6.2	12.7	18.2	20.5	22.3	28.3	29.6	31.6	29.4
North Central	7.5	14.0	19.1	20.6	22.4	27.9	29.7	31.6	30.0
East Texas	8.8	14.6	19.3	21.3	22.7	27.6	28.8	30.5	28.7
Trans Pecos	8.0	14.2	19.4	19.9	23.2	28.3	27.8	29.1	27.5
Edwards Plateau	8.8	14.6	19.9	20.9	22.6	28.0	28.1	30.0	29.2
South Central	12.4	17.7	21.6	23.2	24.3	28.4	29.5	30.8	30.3
Upper Coast	12.7	17.3	20.7	23.1	24.3	28.3	29.1	30.1	29.3
Southern	13.9	18.9	23.0	24.1	25.6	29.2	30.5	31.7	31.3
Lower Valley	16.8	20.6	24.2	25.1	26.9	29.8	31.0	31.9	31.6

CSV

Source: NOAA NCEI

Monthly minimum temperature by region (°C)

Region	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep
High Plains	−4.0	1.3	5.9	9.2	12.5	19.1	20.6	21.0	19.5
Low Rolling Plains	−1.7	4.1	9.0	13.1	15.0	21.7	22.6	23.8	22.3
North Central	0.2	6.1	12.0	15.3	16.5	22.8	23.7	24.4	23.2
East Texas	2.2	7.4	12.4	16.0	17.1	23.0	23.3	23.6	22.3
Trans Pecos	0.2	5.5	9.9	12.0	14.9	20.7	20.7	21.2	20.5
Edwards Plateau	0.8	5.9	12.1	15.5	16.2	22.4	22.0	22.4	22.2
South Central	5.3	10.4	14.9	18.5	18.8	24.1	24.1	24.0	24.0
Upper Coast	6.6	11.2	15.3	19.1	19.6	24.6	24.6	24.7	24.3
Southern	6.1	10.7	15.3	19.2	19.6	24.1	24.5	24.5	24.8
Lower Valley	10.5	13.5	17.8	20.8	21.8	25.4	25.6	25.9	25.9

CSV

Source: NOAA NCEI

Stations used

Id	Name	County	Latitude	Longitude	Altitude (m)	Days with data (Tmax) (%)
USC00410011	Dalhart 2SE	Hartley	36.1	−102.5	1211.9	0.0
USC00410012	Abernathy	Hale	33.8	−101.9	1023.8	97.0
USC00410013	Abilene 6ESE	Taylor	32.4	−99.6	549.2	83.0
USC00410040	Acton Rch	Crockett	30.3	−101.3	612.6	0.0
USC00410058	Addison Airport	Dallas	33.0	−96.8	196.0	0.0
USC00410071	Adrian 6N	Oldham	35.3	−102.6	1229.0	0.0
USC00410120	Albany	Shackelford	32.7	−99.3	441.4	100.0
USC00410213	Amarillo 7ENE	Potter	35.2	−101.7	1094.2	0.0
USC00410225	Amistad Dam	Val Verde	29.5	−101.0	352.7	23.0
USC00410268	Anson	Jones	32.8	−99.9	523.3	73.0
USC00410297	Aquilla 1 SSE	Hill	31.8	−97.2	156.4	0.0
USC00410345	Armstrong 4SE	Kenedy	26.8	−97.7	7.6	100.0
USC00410394	Aspermont	Stonewall	33.2	−100.2	534.6	100.0
USC00410408	Atlanta	Cass	33.1	−94.2	96.0	100.0
USC00410433	Austin Great Hills	Travis	30.4	−97.8	268.2	100.0
USC00410436	Austwell	Refugio	28.4	−96.8	7.0	100.0
USC00410443	Avery 5 NNW	Red River	33.6	−94.8	118.9	0.0
USC00410493	Ballinger 2 NW	Runnels	31.7	−100.0	518.2	97.0
USC00410569	Bay City Wtr Wks	Matagorda	29.0	−96.0	15.8	0.0
USC00410613	Beaumont Rsch Ctr	Jefferson	30.1	−94.3	10.4	100.0
USC00410639	Beeville 5 NE	Bee	28.5	−97.7	77.7	97.0
USC00410655	Bellville 6NNE	Austin	30.0	−96.2	85.3	30.0
USC00410690	Benavides #2	Duval	27.6	−98.4	115.8	83.0
USC00410691	Benbrook Dam	Tarrant	32.6	−97.4	240.8	0.0
USC00410738	Bertram 3 ENE	Burnet	30.8	−98.0	344.1	0.0
USC00410781	Big Spring 5NE	Howard	32.4	−101.4	791.3	0.0
USC00410902	Boerne	Kendall	29.8	−98.7	440.4	97.0
USC00410923	Bonham 3NNE	Fannin	33.6	−96.2	182.3	83.0
USC00410984	Bowie	Montague	33.6	−97.8	329.2	0.0
USC00411000	Boys Rch	Oldham	35.5	−102.3	972.6	97.0
USC00411033	Bravo	Oldham	35.6	−103.0	1268.0	30.0
USC00411042	Breckenridge	Stephens	32.8	−98.9	356.6	0.0
USC00411048	Brenham	Washington	30.2	−96.4	95.4	87.0
USC00411128	Brownfield	Terry	33.2	−102.3	1005.8	100.0
USC00411138	Brownwood 2NE	Brown	31.7	−99.0	472.7	93.0
USC00411215	Bulverde	Comal	29.7	−98.5	329.2	0.0
USC00411239	Burkett	Coleman	32.0	−99.2	467.6	0.0
USC00411246	Burleson	Johnson	32.5	−97.3	232.3	20.0
USC00411250	Burnet	Burnet	30.8	−98.2	391.7	100.0
USC00411267	Bushland 1 WSW	Potter	35.2	−102.1	1164.0	67.0
USC00411337	Calliham	McMullen	28.5	−98.4	66.4	100.0
USC00411395	Camp Verde	Kerr	29.9	−99.1	494.7	0.0
USC00411429	Canyon Dam	Comal	29.9	−98.2	304.8	100.0
USC00411433	Canyon Dam #3	Comal	29.9	−98.4	373.4	0.0
USC00411441	Caprock Canyon Sp	Briscoe	34.4	−101.1	807.1	0.0
USC00411486	Carrizo Springs 3S	Dimmit	28.5	−99.9	186.8	93.0
USC00411500	Carthage	Panola	32.2	−94.3	93.0	93.0
USC00411524	Castolon	Brewster	29.1	−103.5	661.1	93.0
USC00411578	Center	Shelby	31.8	−94.3	115.8	0.0
USC00411596	Centerville	Leon	31.3	−96.0	97.5	73.0
USC00411671	Cheapside	Gonzales	29.3	−97.4	111.3	97.0
USC00411694	Childress 2	Childress	34.4	−100.2	585.5	97.0
USC00411700	Childress 7NW	Childress	34.5	−100.3	541.9	0.0
USC00411715	Chisos Basin	Brewster	29.3	−103.3	1615.4	100.0
USC00411720	Choke Canyon Dam	Live Oak	28.5	−98.3	70.1	100.0
USC00411736	Christoval 2SSW	Tom Green	31.2	−100.5	641.9	0.0
USC00411800	Cleburne	Johnson	32.3	−97.4	238.7	37.0
USC00411875	Coleman	Coleman	31.8	−99.4	514.2	93.0
USC00411880	Coleto Creek Rsvr	Goliad	28.7	−97.2	36.0	90.0
USC00411911	Columbus	Colorado	29.7	−96.6	68.6	30.0
USC00411920	Comfort 2	Kendall	30.0	−98.9	436.8	0.0
USC00411921	Commerce 4SW	Hunt	33.2	−95.9	167.6	0.0
USC00411956	Conroe	Montgomery	30.3	−95.5	74.7	80.0
USC00411970	Cooper	Delta	33.4	−95.7	148.1	0.0
USC00411974	Cope Rch	Reagan	31.5	−101.3	755.9	100.0
USC00412011	Corpus Christi Nws	Nueces	27.8	−97.5	13.4	100.0
USC00412019	Corsicana	Navarro	32.1	−96.5	138.1	100.0
USC00412082	Crane	Crane	31.4	−102.4	778.5	100.0
USC00412086	Cranfills Gap	Bosque	31.8	−97.8	298.7	0.0
USC00412088	Crawford	McLennan	31.5	−97.5	214.9	0.0
USC00412114	Crockett	Houston	31.3	−95.5	105.8	77.0
USC00412121	Crosbyton	Crosby	33.7	−101.3	930.2	100.0
USC00412125	Cross	McMullen	28.6	−98.6	86.9	97.0
USC00412142	Crowell	Foard	34.0	−99.7	454.2	0.0
USC00412173	Cuero	DeWitt	29.1	−97.3	65.2	0.0
USC00412180	Cumby	Hopkins	33.2	−95.8	189.0	0.0
USC00412266	Danevang 1 W	Wharton	29.1	−96.3	20.4	97.0
USC00412408	Denver City	Yoakum	33.0	−102.8	1091.2	97.0
USC00412446	Diana 2 W	Upshur	32.7	−94.8	86.6	100.0
USC00412462	Dime Box	Lee	30.4	−96.8	112.2	0.0
USC00412464	Dimmitt	Castro	34.5	−102.3	1179.6	100.0
USC00412585	Dripping Springs 6 E	Hays	30.2	−98.0	330.4	87.0
USC00412621	Dumont	King	33.8	−100.5	627.3	0.0
USC00412741	Eden	Concho	31.2	−99.9	624.2	100.0
USC00412758	Edinburg	Hidalgo	26.3	−98.2	29.3	100.0
USC00412786	El Campo	Wharton	29.2	−96.3	33.5	97.0
USC00412809	Eldorado	Schleicher	30.9	−100.6	743.7	97.0
USC00412906	Encinal	Webb	28.0	−99.4	166.1	0.0
USC00413060	Falcon Dam	Starr	26.6	−99.1	97.5	63.0
USC00413065	Falls City 7 WSW	Wilson	29.0	−98.1	104.5	0.0
USC00413112	Fedor 3SE	Lee	30.3	−97.0	130.8	0.0
USC00413133	Ferris	Ellis	32.5	−96.7	143.3	0.0
USC00413156	Fischers Store	Comal	30.0	−98.3	359.7	0.0
USC00413195	Flomot 2E	Motley	34.2	−101.0	720.9	0.0
USC00413214	Floydada	Floyd	34.0	−101.3	970.2	100.0
USC00413215	Floydada 9SE	Floyd	33.9	−101.2	954.0	0.0
USC00413225	Follett	Lipscomb	36.4	−100.1	844.3	100.0
USC00413257	Ft Mckavett	Menard	30.8	−100.1	661.1	93.0
USC00413262	Ft Davis	Jeff Davis	30.6	−103.9	1482.5	0.0
USC00413265	Ft Griffin	Shackelford	32.9	−99.2	388.6	100.0
USC00413285	Ft Worth Wsfo	Tarrant	32.8	−97.3	196.3	97.0
USC00413291	Ft Stockton 38SE	Pecos	30.6	−102.4	905.6	0.0
USC00413329	Fredericksburg	Gillespie	30.2	−98.9	513.6	0.0
USC00413340	Freeport 2 NW	Brazoria	29.0	−95.4	2.4	90.0
USC00413341	Freer	Duval	27.9	−98.6	171.3	93.0
USC00413368	Friona	Parmer	34.6	−102.7	1226.8	100.0
USC00413411	Gail	Borden	32.8	−101.5	771.1	47.0
USC00413420	Gainesville 5 ENE	Cooke	33.6	−97.1	265.2	97.0
USC00413507	Georgetown Lake	Williamson	30.7	−97.7	266.4	63.0
USC00413568	Glazier	Hemphill	36.0	−100.3	796.4	0.0
USC00413579	Glen Cove 2 NE	Coleman	31.9	−99.6	628.8	0.0
USC00413614	Goldthwaite 1 WSW	Mills	31.4	−98.6	459.3	100.0
USC00413675	Granbury 5N	Hood	32.5	−97.8	237.4	80.0
USC00413787	Gruver	Hansford	36.3	−101.4	966.2	97.0
USC00413828	Guthrie	King	33.6	−100.3	536.4	100.0
USC00413873	Hallettsville 2 N	Lavaca	29.5	−96.9	83.8	90.0
USC00413877	Hallsville 4 S	Harrison	32.4	−94.6	98.1	100.0
USC00413943	Harlingen	Cameron	26.2	−97.7	11.6	100.0
USC00413954	Harper 3ENE	Gillespie	30.3	−99.2	643.1	100.0
USC00413972	Hart	Castro	34.4	−102.1	1116.5	97.0
USC00414081	Henderson	Rusk	32.2	−94.8	140.5	67.0
USC00414083	Allison 5 ENE	Hemphill	35.6	−100.0	783.0	0.0
USC00414098	Hereford	Deaf Smith	34.8	−102.4	1164.3	0.0
USC00414140	Higgins	Lipscomb	36.1	−100.0	781.5	0.0
USC00414182	Hillsboro	Hill	32.0	−97.1	167.6	83.0
USC00414257	Honey Grove	Fannin	33.6	−95.9	201.8	0.0
USC00414278	Hords Creek Dam	Coleman	31.8	−99.6	594.1	100.0
USC00414325	Houston-Westbury	Harris	29.7	−95.4	14.0	0.0
USC00414333	Houston Nwso	Galveston	29.5	−95.1	5.8	100.0
USC00414375	Hunt 10 W	Kerr	30.1	−99.5	612.6	27.0
USC00414382	Huntsville	Walker	30.7	−95.5	150.6	100.0
USC00414458	Ingram 2NW	Kerr	30.1	−99.2	545.3	0.0
USC00414505	Itasca 5SSW	Hill	32.1	−97.1	198.7	0.0
USC00414517	Jacksboro	Jack	33.2	−98.2	329.5	70.0
USC00414525	Jacksonville	Cherokee	32.0	−95.3	170.7	80.0
USC00414563	Jasper	Jasper	30.9	−94.0	62.5	0.0
USC00414570	Jayton	Kent	33.3	−100.6	612.6	33.0
USC00414577	Jefferson	Marion	32.8	−94.4	64.3	90.0
USC00414583	Jericho	Gray	35.2	−100.9	972.3	0.0
USC00414633	Jonesville	Harrison	32.5	−94.1	79.2	0.0
USC00414670	Junction 4SSW	Kimble	30.4	−99.8	532.5	77.0
USC00414679	Justin	Denton	33.1	−97.3	195.1	0.0
USC00414723	Keene 2NNW	Johnson	32.4	−97.3	271.3	0.0
USC00414770	Kent 8SE	Jeff Davis	31.0	−104.1	1402.7	100.0
USC00414782	Kerrville 3 NNE	Kerr	30.1	−99.1	547.7	33.0
USC00414792	Killeen	Bell	31.1	−97.7	248.4	100.0
USC00414810	Kingsville	Kleberg	27.5	−97.8	17.4	100.0
USC00414950	Lajitas	Brewster	29.3	−103.8	732.4	100.0
USC00414960	Tuscola 2NW	Taylor	32.2	−99.8	611.4	0.0
USC00414967	Lake Alan Henry	Garza	33.1	−101.0	695.6	97.0
USC00414976	Lake Fk Rsvr	Wood	32.8	−95.5	127.1	100.0
USC00414980	Lake Tawakoni	Rains	32.9	−95.9	136.6	100.0
USC00414982	Lake Kemp	Baylor	33.8	−99.1	355.7	100.0
USC00415158	Lenorah	Martin	32.3	−101.9	867.2	0.0
USC00415183	Levelland	Hockley	33.5	−102.4	1071.1	100.0
USC00415192	Lewisville Dam	Denton	33.1	−97.0	169.5	0.0
USC00415265	Littlefield	Lamb	33.9	−102.3	1054.0	100.0
USC00415303	Loma Alta	McMullen	28.2	−98.5	132.6	0.0
USC00415341	Longview	Gregg	32.5	−94.7	100.6	100.0
USC00415369	Los Angeles 4 WSW	La Salle	28.4	−99.1	128.3	0.0
USC00415409	Lubbock Wfo	Lubbock	33.5	−101.9	986.0	97.0
USC00415410	Lubbock 9N	Lubbock	33.7	−101.8	989.1	0.0
USC00415427	Lufkin #2	Angelina	31.3	−94.7	93.0	0.0
USC00415429	Luling	Caldwell	29.7	−97.7	121.9	0.0
USC00415435	Lumberton	Hardin	30.3	−94.2	13.1	97.0
USC00415477	Madisonville	Madison	30.9	−95.9	76.8	70.0
USC00415590	Marfa AP	Presidio	30.4	−104.0	1473.1	0.0
USC00415618	Marshall	Harrison	32.5	−94.3	92.0	100.0
USC00415650	Mason	Mason	30.7	−99.2	466.6	0.0
USC00415658	Matador	Motley	34.0	−100.8	716.6	100.0
USC00415661	Mathis 4 SSW	Jim Wells	28.0	−97.9	42.1	100.0
USC00415695	Maypearl	Ellis	32.3	−97.0	167.3	0.0
USC00415701	Mcallen	Hidalgo	26.2	−98.3	33.5	97.0
USC00415707	Mccamey	Upton	31.1	−102.2	750.1	0.0
USC00415721	Mccook	Hidalgo	26.6	−98.1	67.1	97.0
USC00415742	Medina 1NE	Bandera	29.8	−99.2	521.8	0.0
USC00415766	Mckinney Muni AP	Collin	33.2	−96.6	173.4	100.0
USC00415821	Memphis	Hall	34.7	−100.5	629.4	97.0
USC00415893	Wfo Midland	Midland	31.9	−102.2	875.4	100.0
USC00415897	Midlothian	Ellis	32.5	−97.0	230.1	0.0
USC00415954	Mineola	Wood	32.6	−95.5	111.9	100.0
USC00415989	Mobeetie 7 N	Hemphill	35.6	−100.4	868.7	0.0
USC00416074	Morton	Cochran	33.7	−102.8	1147.9	100.0
USC00416104	Mt Locke	Jeff Davis	30.7	−104.0	2069.6	47.0
USC00416108	Mt Pleasant	Titus	33.2	−95.0	111.3	97.0
USC00416119	Mt Vernon	Franklin	33.2	−95.2	136.2	37.0
USC00416135	Muleshoe #1	Bailey	34.2	−102.7	1167.4	83.0
USC00416137	Muleshoe Nwr	Bailey	34.0	−102.8	1143.6	97.0
USC00416147	Munday 1W	Knox	33.5	−99.6	452.9	0.0
USC00416177	Nacogdoches	Nacogdoches	31.6	−94.6	132.6	0.0
USC00416210	Navarro Mills Dam	Navarro	32.0	−96.7	138.4	87.0
USC00416270	New Boston	Bowie	33.5	−94.4	105.2	0.0
USC00416273	New Braunfels Wfo	Guadalupe	29.7	−98.0	191.1	77.0
USC00416335	New Summerfield 2W	Cherokee	32.0	−95.1	113.4	0.0
USC00416433	Northfield	Motley	34.3	−100.6	612.6	0.0
USC00416436	Randall 10SE	Randall	35.1	−101.8	1075.9	0.0
USC00416644	Olton	Lamb	34.2	−102.1	1100.6	97.0
USC00416680	Orange 9 N	Orange	30.2	−93.7	7.0	97.0
USC00416740	Paducah 7E	Cottle	34.0	−100.2	527.3	97.0
USC00416742	Paducah 15S	King	33.8	−100.3	566.3	83.0
USC00416745	Paducah 10S	Cottle	33.9	−100.4	594.4	0.0
USC00416776	Pampa #2	Gray	35.6	−101.0	960.1	97.0
USC00416777	Pampa 3E	Gray	35.6	−100.9	973.8	0.0
USC00416792	Panther Junction	Brewster	29.3	−103.2	1140.0	100.0
USC00416959	Persimmon Gap	Brewster	29.7	−103.2	873.3	100.0
USC00417060	Pitchfork Rch	Dickens	33.6	−100.5	592.8	0.0
USC00417074	Plains	Yoakum	33.2	−102.8	1120.1	93.0
USC00417079	Plainview	Hale	34.2	−101.7	1027.2	93.0
USC00417081	Plainview Water Production	Hale	34.2	−101.7	1051.6	100.0
USC00417111	Pleasanton	Atascosa	29.0	−98.5	109.1	70.0
USC00417140	Pt Comfort	Calhoun	28.7	−96.6	6.1	93.0
USC00417172	Port Arthur City	Jefferson	29.9	−94.0	1.5	0.0
USC00417179	Port Isabel	Cameron	26.1	−97.3	3.7	93.0
USC00417184	Port Mansfield	Willacy	26.6	−97.4	1.8	67.0
USC00417206	Post	Garza	33.2	−101.4	792.8	97.0
USC00417215	Poteet	Atascosa	29.0	−98.6	129.5	0.0
USC00417243	Prairie Mtn	Llano	30.6	−98.9	441.4	0.0
USC00417300	Proctor Rsvr	Comanche	32.0	−98.5	372.2	0.0
USC00417327	Putnam	Callahan	32.4	−99.2	494.1	100.0
USC00417388	Rainbow	Somervell	32.3	−97.7	197.5	30.0
USC00417458	Raymondville	Willacy	26.5	−97.8	9.4	87.0
USC00417622	Rio Grande City	Starr	26.4	−98.8	52.4	87.0
USC00417624	Rio Grande Village	Brewster	29.2	−103.0	566.3	100.0
USC00417663	Roaring Springs	Motley	33.9	−100.9	762.3	0.0
USC00417704	Rockport	Aransas	28.0	−97.1	3.0	97.0
USC00417736	Ropesville 6NNW	Hockley	33.5	−102.2	1038.1	0.0
USC00417743	Roscoe	Nolan	32.4	−100.5	725.4	97.0
USC00417835	Run Away Bay	Wise	33.2	−97.9	267.9	0.0
USC00417841	Rusk	Cherokee	31.8	−95.1	211.8	0.0
USC00417873	Sabinal	Uvalde	29.3	−99.5	290.2	0.0
USC00417936	Sam Rayburn Dam	Jasper	31.1	−94.1	57.6	47.0
USC00417944	San Angelo Wfo	Tom Green	31.4	−100.5	576.1	97.0
USC00417951	San Augustine	San Augustine	31.5	−94.1	89.9	97.0
USC00417981	San Manuel	Hidalgo	26.6	−98.1	22.9	97.0
USC00417983	San Marcos	Hays	29.9	−97.9	202.7	0.0
USC00417994	San Saba 7NW	San Saba	31.3	−98.8	405.4	37.0
USC00418040	Sanford Dam	Hutchinson	35.7	−101.5	894.9	97.0
USC00418046	Santa Anna 12SSE	Coleman	31.6	−99.2	432.2	0.0
USC00418139	Scotland	Archer	33.7	−98.5	293.8	0.0
USC00418187	Seguin 1 SSW	Guadalupe	29.6	−98.0	153.9	0.0
USC00418221	Seymour 3NW	Baylor	33.6	−99.3	399.6	0.0
USC00418232	Shallowater	Lubbock	33.7	−102.0	1006.8	0.0
USC00418274	Sherman	Grayson	33.7	−96.6	231.6	83.0
USC00418323	Silverton	Briscoe	34.5	−101.3	998.2	90.0
USC00418373	Slaton	Lubbock	33.4	−101.7	942.7	0.0
USC00418433	Snyder	Scurry	32.7	−100.9	706.8	100.0
USC00418446	Somerville Dam	Burleson	30.3	−96.5	80.2	90.0
USC00418449	Sonora	Sutton	30.6	−100.7	643.7	0.0
USC00418477	Southland	Garza	33.4	−101.6	920.5	0.0
USC00418487	S Padre Is	Cameron	26.1	−97.2	1.5	0.0
USC00418519	Speaks 2	Lavaca	29.3	−96.7	43.6	0.0
USC00418566	Spur	Dickens	33.5	−100.9	700.1	100.0
USC00418583	Stamford 1	Jones	32.9	−99.8	491.3	97.0
USC00418728	Sugar Land	Fort Bend	29.6	−95.7	23.5	100.0
USC00418743	Sulphur Springs	Hopkins	33.1	−95.6	150.9	93.0
USC00418818	Tahoka	Lynn	33.2	−101.8	948.5	97.0
USC00418862	Taylor 1NW	Williamson	30.6	−97.4	174.0	100.0
USC00418877	Teague Rch	Gillespie	30.4	−98.8	524.3	0.0
USC00418942	Texarkana	Bowie	33.4	−94.1	118.9	100.0
USC00418964	Texline	Dallam	36.4	−103.0	1433.8	0.0
USC00419101	Town Bluff Dam	Tyler	30.8	−94.2	66.8	100.0
USC00419163	Truscott 3 W	Knox	33.8	−99.9	478.8	100.0
USC00419175	Tulia	Swisher	34.6	−101.7	1051.6	100.0
USC00419191	Turkey	Hall	34.4	−100.9	716.9	100.0
USC00419207	Tyler	Smith	32.3	−95.3	154.8	100.0
USC00419275	Valentine 10 WSW	Presidio	30.6	−104.6	1339.3	0.0
USC00419330	Vega 2NW	Oldham	35.3	−102.5	1218.6	0.0
USC00419346	Vernon	Wilbarger	34.2	−99.3	368.8	0.0
USC00419367	Victoria Rgnl AP	Victoria	28.8	−96.9	31.7	100.0
USC00419380	Vigo Park	Swisher	34.7	−101.5	1032.1	100.0
USC00419499	Water Valley	Tom Green	31.7	−100.7	644.7	20.0
USC00419532	Weatherford	Parker	32.7	−97.8	293.2	57.0
USC00419559	Welder Wildlife Foundation	San Patricio	28.1	−97.4	15.2	77.0
USC00419588	Weslaco	Hidalgo	26.2	−98.0	22.9	100.0
USC00419605	W Columbia 1 ESE	Brazoria	29.1	−95.6	9.4	0.0
USC00419649	Wfo Brownsville	Cameron	25.9	−97.4	4.6	100.0
USC00419711	White Rvr Rsvr	Crosby	33.5	−101.1	734.3	100.0
USC00419717	Whitsett	Live Oak	28.6	−98.3	63.4	0.0
USC00419893	Woodson	Throckmorton	33.0	−99.1	378.6	0.0
USC00419916	Wright Patman Dm & Lk	Cass	33.3	−94.2	86.0	60.0
USW00000130	Pleasanton Muni AP	Atascosa	28.9	−98.5	131.1	100.0
USW00000166	Lago Vista Rusty Allen AP	Travis	30.5	−98.0	375.2	93.0
USW00000176	Stephens County AP	Stephens	32.7	−98.9	391.1	0.0
USW00000177	Castroville Muni Airport	Kendall	29.9	−98.8	235.0	0.0
USW00000209	Bowie Muni AP	Montague	33.6	−97.8	336.2	100.0
USW00000225	Horseshoe Bay Resort AP	Llano	30.5	−98.4	333.1	100.0
USW00000229	Lampasas AP	Lampasas	31.1	−98.2	370.0	0.0
USW00000230	Austin Executive AP	Travis	30.4	−97.6	188.1	0.0
USW00000263	Boerne Stage Field AP	Bexar	29.7	−98.7	422.1	0.0
USW00000270	Faith Rch AP	Dimmit	28.2	−100.0	236.2	0.0
USW00000349	Andrews County AP	Andrews	32.3	−102.5	967.1	0.0
USW00000351	Cameron Muni AP	Milam	30.9	−97.0	123.1	0.0
USW00000357	Hamilton Muni AP	Hamilton	31.7	−98.1	396.2	0.0
USW00000362	Gatesville Muni AP	Coryell	31.4	−97.8	276.1	100.0
USW00000448	Ralph M Hall Rockwall Muni AP	Rockwall	32.9	−96.4	175.3	0.0
USW00000461	Mexia Limestone County AP	Limestone	31.6	−96.5	166.1	0.0
USW00000471	Presidio Lely Intl AP	Presidio	29.6	−104.4	896.1	0.0
USW00000477	Roger M Dreyer Mem AP	Gonzales	29.5	−97.5	108.2	0.0
USW00003024	Borger Hutchinson Co AP	Hutchinson	35.7	−101.4	926.9	100.0
USW00003031	Odessa Schlemeyer Fld	Ector	31.9	−102.4	909.2	100.0
USW00003032	Dryden Terrell Co AP	Terrell	30.0	−102.2	701.0	100.0
USW00003044	Big Spring Wrinkle AP	Howard	32.2	−101.5	784.3	100.0
USW00003047	Monahans 6 ENE	Ward	31.6	−102.8	830.3	100.0
USW00003049	Alpine Casparis AP	Brewster	30.4	−103.7	1375.6	100.0
USW00003050	Snyder Winston Fld AP	Scurry	32.7	−101.0	740.7	100.0
USW00003054	Muleshoe 19 S	Bailey	34.0	−102.8	1140.6	100.0
USW00003056	Gaines Co AP	Gaines	32.7	−102.7	1010.4	100.0
USW00003058	Pecos Muni AP	Reeves	31.4	−103.5	796.4	100.0
USW00003071	Midland Airpark	Midland	32.0	−102.1	854.4	100.0
USW00003072	Bronte 11 NNE	Coke	32.0	−100.2	608.7	100.0
USW00003901	Longview E Tx Rgnl AP	Gregg	32.4	−94.7	107.3	100.0
USW00003902	Robert Gray Aaf	Bell	31.1	−97.8	309.4	100.0
USW00003904	College Stn Easterwood Fld	Brazos	30.6	−96.4	96.0	100.0
USW00003927	Dal-Ftw Wscmo AP	Dallas	32.9	−97.0	165.8	100.0
USW00003933	Ft Hood	Bell	31.1	−97.7	281.6	100.0
USW00003951	Longview Wsmo	Rusk	32.4	−94.7	124.1	87.0
USW00003969	Stephenville Clark Fld	Erath	32.2	−98.2	402.6	100.0
USW00003971	Dallas Redbird AP	Dallas	32.7	−96.9	200.6	100.0
USW00003985	Fort Worth Spinks AP	Tarrant	32.6	−97.3	213.4	0.0
USW00003991	Denton Municpal AP	Denton	33.2	−97.2	194.8	100.0
USW00003999	Burnet Muni AP	Burnet	30.7	−98.2	386.2	100.0
USW00012904	Harlingen Rio Grande Vly Intl	Cameron	26.2	−97.7	9.4	100.0
USW00012906	Houston Ellington Afb	Harris	29.6	−95.2	11.9	100.0
USW00012907	Laredo Intl AP	Webb	27.5	−99.5	150.6	100.0
USW00012909	San Antonio Kelly Afb	Bexar	29.4	−98.6	207.9	100.0
USW00012911	Randolph Afb	Bexar	29.5	−98.3	221.9	100.0
USW00012912	Victoria Rgnl AP	Victoria	28.9	−96.9	33.8	100.0
USW00012917	Port Arthur SE Tx Rgnl AP	Jefferson	30.0	−94.0	4.0	97.0
USW00012918	Houston William P Hobby AP	Harris	29.6	−95.3	13.1	100.0
USW00012919	Brownsville	Cameron	25.9	−97.4	26.8	100.0
USW00012921	San Antonio Intl AP	Bexar	29.5	−98.5	243.5	100.0
USW00012923	Galveston Scholes Fld	Galveston	29.3	−94.9	1.5	100.0
USW00012924	Corpus Christi	Nueces	27.8	−97.5	43.3	100.0
USW00012926	Corpus Christi Nas	Nueces	27.7	−97.3	4.6	100.0
USW00012928	Kingsville Naas	Kleberg	27.5	−97.8	13.4	100.0
USW00012932	Alice Intl AP	Jim Wells	27.7	−98.0	51.8	100.0
USW00012935	Palacios Muni AP	Matagorda	28.7	−96.3	3.0	100.0
USW00012946	Corpus Christi Cabaniss Fld	Nueces	27.7	−97.4	9.1	27.0
USW00012947	Cotulla La Salle Co AP	La Salle	28.5	−99.2	143.9	100.0
USW00012953	Wharton Rgnl AP	Wharton	29.3	−96.0	30.5	100.0
USW00012957	Port Isabel Cameron Co AP	Cameron	26.2	−97.3	5.2	100.0
USW00012959	Mcallen Miller Intl AP	Hidalgo	26.2	−98.2	30.2	100.0
USW00012960	Houston Intercontinental AP	Harris	30.0	−95.4	27.4	100.0
USW00012961	Kerrville Muni AP	Kerr	30.0	−99.1	492.9	73.0
USW00012962	Hondo Muni AP	Medina	29.4	−99.2	281.0	100.0
USW00012970	San Antonio Stinson Muni AP	Bexar	29.3	−98.5	173.1	100.0
USW00012971	Austin San Antonio	Guadalupe	29.7	−98.0	233.8	100.0
USW00012972	Rockport Aransas Co AP	Aransas	28.1	−97.0	7.3	100.0
USW00012974	Orange Grove	Jim Wells	27.9	−98.0	78.3	0.0
USW00012975	Houston Clover Fld	Brazoria	29.5	−95.2	11.9	100.0
USW00012976	Angleton Lk Jackson Brazoria C	Brazoria	29.1	−95.5	7.6	100.0
USW00012977	Houston Sugarland Mem	Fort Bend	29.6	−95.7	23.5	100.0
USW00012978	Fayette Rgnl AP	Fayette	29.9	−97.0	98.8	100.0
USW00012979	San Marcos Muni AP	Caldwell	29.9	−97.9	182.0	0.0
USW00012981	Bay City Muni AP	Matagorda	29.0	−95.9	13.7	70.0
USW00012985	Garner Fld AP	Uvalde	29.2	−99.7	287.1	100.0
USW00012987	Edinburg 17 NNE	Hidalgo	26.5	−98.1	19.5	100.0
USW00013904	Austin Bergstrom Intl AP	Travis	30.2	−97.7	146.6	100.0
USW00013910	Abilene Dyess Afb	Taylor	32.4	−99.8	545.0	100.0
USW00013911	Ft Worth Nas	Tarrant	32.8	−97.5	185.3	100.0
USW00013926	Greenville Muni AP Majors Fld	Hunt	33.1	−96.1	163.1	73.0
USW00013928	Waco J Connally Afb	McLennan	31.6	−97.1	153.0	100.0
USW00013958	Austin-Camp Mabry	Travis	30.3	−97.8	204.2	100.0
USW00013959	Waco Rgnl AP	McLennan	31.6	−97.2	151.8	100.0
USW00013960	Dallas Faa AP	Dallas	32.8	−96.8	147.5	100.0
USW00013961	Ft Worth Meacham Fld	Tarrant	32.8	−97.4	213.7	100.0
USW00013962	Abilene Rgnl AP	Taylor	32.4	−99.7	544.7	100.0
USW00013966	Wichita Falls Muni AP	Wichita	34.0	−98.5	308.8	100.0
USW00013972	Tyler Pounds Fld	Smith	32.4	−95.4	159.4	97.0
USW00013973	Junction Kimble Co AP	Kimble	30.5	−99.8	521.5	100.0
USW00022001	Del Rio Laughlin Afb	Val Verde	29.4	−100.8	329.8	100.0
USW00022010	Del Rio Intl AP	Val Verde	29.4	−100.9	305.7	93.0
USW00022016	Panther Junction 2 N	Brewster	29.3	−103.2	1065.0	100.0
USW00023007	Childress Muni AP	Childress	34.4	−100.3	594.1	100.0
USW00023019	Biggs Afb	El Paso	31.8	−106.4	1196.0	100.0
USW00023023	Midland Odessa	Midland	31.9	−102.2	902.8	100.0
USW00023034	San Angelo	Tom Green	31.4	−100.5	610.8	100.0
USW00023040	Wink Faa AP	Winkler	31.8	−103.2	858.3	100.0
USW00023042	Lubbock	Lubbock	33.7	−101.8	1029.6	100.0
USW00023044	El Paso Intl AP	El Paso	31.8	−106.4	1202.1	100.0
USW00023047	Amarillo	Potter	35.2	−101.7	1128.7	100.0
USW00023072	Clarendon	Donley	34.9	−100.9	823.0	0.0
USW00023091	Ft Stockton Pecos Co AP	Pecos	30.9	−102.9	917.8	100.0
USW00023906	Port Aransas 32 NNE	Aransas	28.3	−96.8	4.6	100.0
USW00023907	Austin 33 NW	Burnet	30.6	−98.1	414.8	100.0
USW00053902	Conroe Montgomery Co AP	Montgomery	30.4	−95.4	69.5	100.0
USW00053903	Huntsville Muni AP	Walker	30.7	−95.6	105.5	100.0
USW00053907	Arlington Muni AP	Tarrant	32.7	−97.1	179.8	100.0
USW00053909	Ft Worth Alliance AP	Denton	33.0	−97.3	215.5	100.0
USW00053910	Houston Hooks Mem AP	Harris	30.1	−95.6	46.6	100.0
USW00053911	Terrell Muni AP	Kaufman	32.7	−96.3	143.0	100.0
USW00053912	Corsicana Campbell Fld	Navarro	32.0	−96.4	135.0	100.0
USW00053914	Mckinney Muni AP	Collin	33.2	−96.6	173.4	100.0
USW00053928	Brenham Muni AP	Washington	30.2	−96.4	93.9	100.0
USW00053942	Georgetown Muni AP	Williamson	30.7	−97.7	239.9	0.0
USW00053948	Nacogdoches Mangham AP	Nacogdoches	31.6	−94.7	108.2	0.0
USW00053952	Waco Mcgregor Exec AP	McLennan	31.5	−97.3	180.4	100.0
USW00053964	Decatur Muni AP	Wise	33.3	−97.6	319.1	100.0
USW00053965	Graham Muni AP	Young	33.1	−98.6	342.3	100.0
USW00053966	Mid Way Rgnl AP	Ellis	32.5	−96.9	228.3	100.0
USW00053967	Grayson Co AP	Grayson	33.7	−96.7	228.3	100.0
USW00053968	Palestine 6 WNW	Anderson	31.8	−95.7	116.7	100.0
USW00053970	Mesquite Metro AP	Dallas	32.7	−96.5	136.2	0.0
USW00053972	Hillsboro Muni AP	Hill	32.1	−97.1	208.8	100.0
USW00053973	Hearne Muni AP	Robertson	30.9	−96.6	86.9	87.0
USW00053976	Bridgeport Muni AP	Wise	33.2	−97.8	259.4	100.0
USW00053977	Granbury Muni AP	Hood	32.4	−97.8	237.1	100.0
USW00053979	Giddings Lee Co AP	Lee	30.2	−97.0	147.8	100.0
USW00053981	Cleburne Muni AP	Johnson	32.4	−97.4	260.3	100.0
USW00053983	Llano Muni AP	Llano	30.8	−98.7	335.9	100.0
USW00053984	Grand Prairie Muni AP	Tarrant	32.7	−97.0	179.5	0.0
USW00053997	Comanche Co City AP	Comanche	31.9	−98.6	423.1	93.0
USW00063904	Taylor Muni AP	Williamson	30.6	−97.4	182.9	0.0
USW00093042	Dalhart Faa AP	Hartley	36.0	−102.5	1215.5	100.0
USW00093929	Gainesville Muni AP	Cooke	33.7	−97.2	255.7	100.0
USW00093937	Sulphur Springs Muni AP	Hopkins	33.2	−95.6	149.0	0.0
USW00093947	Fredericksburg Gillespie Co AP	Gillespie	30.2	−98.9	516.6	100.0
USW00093955	Paris	Lamar	33.6	−95.5	166.7	77.0
USW00093983	Palestine Muni AP	Anderson	31.8	−95.7	128.9	100.0
USW00093984	Temple Draughton Mil	Bell	31.1	−97.4	207.9	97.0
USW00093985	Mineral Wells AP	Parker	32.8	−98.1	287.1	100.0
USW00093987	Lufkin Angelina Co AP	Angelina	31.2	−94.8	87.2	100.0

CSV

Source: NOAA NCEI

11 Glossary, methodology and sources

Anomaly: difference between the observed value and its 1991–2020 normal. Percent of normal: observed total divided by the normal, times 100. Station record: most extreme daily value for the same month in all earlier years of record (at least 20 years).

Temperature: NOAA nClimGrid-Daily. Precipitation: NOAA nClimGrid-Daily. nClimGrid-Daily is the grid behind NOAA's official statewide values; it is averaged here from 1/24° to 1/8° (about 12 km). Mean temperature is (Tmax + Tmin)/2. Statewide, regional and county averages are weighted by the area of each grid cell inside each polygon. Temperature maps, frost days and annex tables are given by region; regions are NOAA NCEI climate divisions, with each county in the division of its centroid. Recent weeks use NCEI's preliminary file of the month; such reports are marked preliminary and updated when the final file is published. Normals refer to 1991-2020; ranks compare values rounded to one decimal. Stations: GHCN-Daily (NOAA NCEI) cooperative and first-order stations; values flagged by its quality control are discarded, as are daily values more than 5 robust standard deviations from the station median and variables whose monthly anomaly differs by more than 3 °C from the gridded analysis. Period means require at least 80% of days with data and station normals at least 20 complete years. This report is generated automatically and does not replace official information from the National Weather Service or the state climatologist.

Source	Product	License	Citation
NOAA CPC	Official ENSO probabilities	Public domain (NOAA)	—
NOAA CPC	ONI, Niño-region SST indices (OISST v2.1), NAO and AO	Public domain (NOAA)	NOAA Climate Prediction Center climate indices.
NOAA NCEI / PSL	Extended Reconstructed SST v5 (ERSST v5), 2°	Public domain (NOAA)	Huang et al. (2017), J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0836.1
GDACS	Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System event list	See provider terms	—
NOAA NCEI	GHCN-Daily	Public domain (NOAA)	Menne et al. (2012), J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-11-00103.1
NOAA NCEI	IBTrACS v04r01 tropical-cyclone best tracks	Public domain (NOAA)	Knapp et al. (2010), Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2755.1
NOAA NCEI	Pacific Decadal Oscillation index (ERSST v5)	Public domain (NOAA)	—
NOAA NCEI	nClimGrid-Daily, contiguous United States (1/24°, averaged here to 1/8°)	Public domain (NOAA)	Durre, I., et al. (2022). NOAA's nClimGrid-Daily Version 1. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. doi:10.25921/c4gt-r169
NOAA CPC	North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) tercile probabilities, 1°	Public domain (NOAA)	Kirtman et al. (2014), Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00050.1
NOAA PSL	Real-time OLR MJO Index (ROMI)	Public domain (NOAA)	Kiladis et al. (2014), Mon. Wea. Rev., doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00301.1
National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA	U.S. Drought Monitor, weekly maps and area statistics	Free to use with credit (NDMC)	The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC.
US Census Bureau TIGERweb	US Census Bureau, TIGERweb counties (generalised)	Public domain (US Government work)	—

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