Florida · Monthly
September 2026
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1 Key messages and climate synopsis
Source: NOAA NCEI
Source: NOAA NCEI
2 Global and regional climate drivers
Sea-surface temperature anomaly, September 2026 (°C, 1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI / PSL
Sea-surface temperature anomaly in the Niño regions (°C)
| Region | Anomaly (°C) | Change from preceding period (°C) |
|---|---|---|
| Niño 1+2 | 4.7 | 0.6 |
| Niño 3 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Niño 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Niño 4 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
Mean of the months in the period (OISST v2.1)
Source: NOAA CPC
El Niño conditions of very strong intensity: the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) for JAS 2026 was +2.2 °C.
Source: NOAA CPC
Monthly Niño 3.4 anomaly, last 24 months (°C)

Source: NOAA CPC
MJO phase diagram (real-time OMI)

Source: NOAA PSL
Teleconnection indices
| Index | Value | Phase |
|---|---|---|
| NAO | 0.5 | Positive |
| AO | 1.2 | Positive |
| PDO | −1.6 | Negative |
North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO); Arctic Oscillation (AO); Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).
Source: NOAA CPC, NOAA NCEI
The Niño 3.4 anomaly was +2.84 °C (+0.32 °C relative to the preceding period).
The MJO was active on 3 of 30 days, most often in phase 2 (Indian Ocean); mean amplitude 0.7.
Other indices: NAO +0.53 (positive phase); AO +1.16 (positive phase); PDO −1.55 (negative phase).
3 Precipitation
Source: NOAA NCEI
Accumulated precipitation

Source: NOAA NCEI
Percent of normal precipitation (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI
Percent of normal by county

Source: NOAA NCEI
Precipitation by region
| Region | Total (mm) | Normal (mm) | Difference (%) | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest | 91.6 | 144.3 | −36.5 | Below normal |
| North | 87.2 | 149.6 | −41.7 | Below normal |
| North Central | 123.1 | 160.7 | −23.4 | Below normal |
| South Central | 138.1 | 177.9 | −22.4 | Below normal |
| South Florida | 228.0 | 197.1 | 15.7 | Near normal |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Stations with the largest precipitation excess
| Region | County | Station | Altitude (m) | Anomaly (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | Broward | Ft Lauderdale Executive AP | 4.0 | 171.1 |
| South Florida | Broward | Ft Lauderdale Intl AP | 1.0 | 162.8 |
| South Florida | Broward | Ft Lauderdale | 5.0 | 118.2 |
| South Florida | Broward | Ft Lauderdale Beach | 1.0 | 113.5 |
| South Florida | Broward | Hollywood N Perry AP | 2.0 | 107.2 |
| South Florida | Broward | Pompano Beach Airpark | 5.0 | 83.8 |
| South Florida | Miami-Dade | Miami Beach | 2.0 | 81.7 |
| South Florida | Miami-Dade | Hialeah | 4.0 | 65.5 |
| South Florida | Miami-Dade | Cape Florida | 2.0 | 59.7 |
| North | Baker | Glen St Mary 1 W | 39.0 | 51.4 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Stations with the largest precipitation deficit
| Region | County | Station | Altitude (m) | Anomaly (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North | Alachua | Gainesville Rgnl AP | 40.0 | −81.5 |
| Northwest | Okaloosa | Niceville | 23.0 | −71.2 |
| North Central | Volusia | Daytona Beach Intl AP | 8.0 | −70.7 |
| North | Duval | Jacksonville Beach | 3.0 | −61.2 |
| North Central | Orange | Orlando Intl AP | 27.0 | −59.5 |
| Northwest | Franklin | Apalachicola AP | 6.0 | −58.5 |
| Northwest | Franklin | Apalachicola AP | 6.0 | −57.8 |
| South Florida | Lee | Ft Myers Page Fld AP | 4.0 | −57.6 |
| Northwest | Leon | Tallahassee | 54.0 | −57.5 |
| South Central | Polk | Winter Haven Gilbert AP | 44.0 | −49.3 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Largest 24-hour rainfall at stations
| Station | County | Max 24 h rainfall (mm) | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Bay 15 S | Palm Beach | 149.9 | 2026-09-03 |
| Ft Lauderdale Beach | Broward | 94.0 | 2026-09-18 |
| Mayo | Lafayette | 84.1 | 2026-09-07 |
| Miami Beach | Miami-Dade | 81.3 | 2026-09-23 |
| W Palm Beach Intl AP | Palm Beach | 79.5 | 2026-09-17 |
| Brooksville Hernando Co AP | Hernando | 79.0 | 2026-09-09 |
| Curry Hammock Sp | Monroe | 76.2 | 2026-09-24 |
| Nw Florida Beaches Intl AP | Bay | 75.9 | 2026-09-11 |
| Ft Lauderdale | Broward | 75.7 | 2026-09-23 |
| Lisbon | Lake | 69.9 | 2026-09-08 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Daily statewide mean precipitation

Source: NOAA NCEI
Daily statewide mean and grid-cell maximum
| Day | Statewide mean (mm) | Grid maximum (mm) | County |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 5.9 | 23.8 | Broward |
| 2026-09-02 | 3.0 | 14.2 | Broward |
| 2026-09-03 | 8.8 | 49.5 | Palm Beach |
| 2026-09-04 | 3.8 | 13.9 | Santa Rosa |
| 2026-09-05 | 7.4 | 27.8 | Washington |
| 2026-09-06 | 7.1 | 30.6 | Palm Beach |
| 2026-09-07 | 8.3 | 27.9 | Suwannee |
| 2026-09-08 | 10.3 | 26.7 | Hernando |
| 2026-09-09 | 3.8 | 15.1 | Highlands |
| 2026-09-10 | 4.1 | 15.3 | Hernando |
| 2026-09-11 | 7.9 | 26.7 | Escambia |
| 2026-09-12 | 7.5 | 42.8 | Escambia |
| 2026-09-13 | 6.4 | 15.3 | Walton |
| 2026-09-14 | 3.8 | 11.5 | Palm Beach |
| 2026-09-15 | 0.6 | 4.9 | Hardee |
| 2026-09-16 | 3.2 | 16.3 | Collier |
| 2026-09-17 | 6.5 | 35.0 | Broward |
| 2026-09-18 | 3.1 | 42.5 | Palm Beach |
| 2026-09-19 | 4.1 | 43.8 | Broward |
| 2026-09-20 | 3.8 | 16.0 | Pinellas |
| 2026-09-21 | 9.2 | 32.9 | Palm Beach |
| 2026-09-22 | 3.9 | 11.9 | Palm Beach |
| 2026-09-23 | 7.2 | 48.5 | Broward |
| 2026-09-24 | 3.3 | 15.9 | Monroe |
| 2026-09-25 | 0.6 | 5.2 | Brevard |
| 2026-09-26 | 0.0 | 3.2 | Monroe |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 | 0.3 | Monroe |
| 2026-09-28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Escambia |
| 2026-09-29 | 0.0 | 2.7 | Collier |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.1 | 53.0 | Monroe |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Statewide precipitation in September of each year

Source: NOAA NCEI
Statewide accumulated precipitation was 136.5 mm, 82% of the 1991–2020 average (167.0 mm), category “Near normal”. It was the 15th driest September in the 1979–2026 series.
The region with the highest percentage of normal was South Florida (116%) and the lowest was North (58%).
The largest daily grid-cell total was estimated on 30 September in Monroe (53.0 mm).
Source: NOAA NCEI
4 Temperature
Source: NOAA NCEI
Mean temperature

Source: NOAA NCEI
Mean temperature anomaly (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI
Mean temperature anomaly by region

Source: NOAA NCEI
Stations with the largest positive anomaly
| Region | County | Station | Altitude (m) | Anomaly (°C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | Broward | Ft Lauderdale Beach | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Northwest | Okaloosa | Niceville | 23.0 | 1.8 |
| Northwest | Washington | Chipley | 40.0 | 1.6 |
| North Central | Lake | Clermont 9 S | 40.0 | 1.3 |
| Northwest | Okaloosa | Crestview Faa/Ap | 47.0 | 1.1 |
| Northwest | Escambia | Pensacola Rgnl AP | 36.0 | 1.1 |
| Northwest | Okaloosa | Destin Ft Walton Beach AP | 6.0 | 0.9 |
| Northwest | Leon | Tallahassee | 54.0 | 0.9 |
| Northwest | Jackson | Marianna Muni AP | 33.0 | 0.9 |
| North | Levy | Usher Twr | 10.0 | 0.9 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Stations with the largest negative anomaly
| Region | County | Station | Altitude (m) | Anomaly (°C) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | Broward | Ft Lauderdale Intl AP | 1.0 | −0.6 |
| South Florida | Broward | Hollywood N Perry AP | 2.0 | −0.6 |
| North | St. Johns | Hastings 4NE | 3.0 | −0.4 |
| South Florida | Broward | Ft Lauderdale Executive AP | 4.0 | −0.4 |
| South Florida | Glades | Moore Haven Lock 1 | 11.0 | −0.4 |
| South Florida | Broward | Pompano Beach Airpark | 5.0 | −0.4 |
| South Central | Brevard | Melbourne Intl AP | 7.0 | −0.3 |
| South Florida | Miami-Dade | Miami Opa Locka AP | 1.0 | −0.3 |
| South Central | Brevard | Melbourne Wfo | 11.0 | −0.3 |
| South Florida | Palm Beach | W Palm Beach Intl AP | 4.0 | −0.2 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Statewide mean temperature anomaly in September of each year

Source: NOAA NCEI
The statewide mean temperature was 27.1 °C, 0.5 °C above the 1991–2020 average (26.6 °C), category “Slightly above normal”. It was the 8th warmest September in the 1979–2026 series (tied with 2020).
By region, the largest anomaly was in Northwest (+1.1 °C) and the smallest in South Florida (+0.1 °C).
Source: NOAA NCEI
Source: NOAA NCEI
Maximum temperature anomaly (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI
Lowest and highest monthly mean maximum temperature by region
| Region | Lowest value (°C) | Station | Highest value (°C) | Station |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest | 31.0 | Apalachicola AP | 33.4 | Tallahassee AP |
| North | 29.9 | Jacksonville Beach | 31.8 | Usher Twr |
| North Central | 29.4 | Daytona Beach | 33.7 | Clermont 9 S |
| South Central | 30.3 | Titusville | 34.5 | Ft Green 12 WSW |
| South Florida | 30.6 | Palm Beach Gardens | 34.0 | Ft Lauderdale Beach |
Station monthly means (GHCN-Daily, ≥ 80% of days with data).
Source: NOAA NCEI
Daily statewide maximum temperature

Source: NOAA NCEI
The statewide maximum temperature was 32.1 °C, 0.6 °C above the 1991–2020 average (31.5 °C), category “Slightly above normal”. It was the 9th warmest September in the 1979–2026 series (tied with 1986, 2025).
By region, the largest anomaly was in Northwest (+1.2 °C) and the smallest in South Florida (+0.3 °C).
Source: NOAA NCEI
Source: NOAA NCEI
Minimum temperature anomaly (1991–2020)

Source: NOAA NCEI
Lowest and highest monthly mean minimum temperature by region
| Region | Lowest value (°C) | Station | Highest value (°C) | Station |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest | 20.4 | Crestview Faa/Ap | 24.0 | Destin Ft Walton Beach AP |
| North | 19.2 | Hastings 4NE | 23.7 | Jacksonville Nas |
| North Central | 21.4 | Mt Plymouth 1SSW | 24.0 | New Smyrna Bch - Marine Discov |
| South Central | 22.1 | Sebring 23 SSE | 25.8 | Nettles Is |
| South Florida | 22.8 | Moore Haven Lock 1 | 27.0 | Key West Nas |
Station monthly means (GHCN-Daily, ≥ 80% of days with data).
Source: NOAA NCEI
Daily statewide minimum temperature

Source: NOAA NCEI
The statewide minimum temperature was 22.1 °C, 0.4 °C above the 1991–2020 average (21.7 °C), category “Normal”. It was the 14th warmest September in the 1979–2026 series (tied with 2017).
By region, the largest anomaly was in Northwest (+1.1 °C) and the smallest in South Florida (−0.2 °C).
Source: NOAA NCEI
5 Climate extremes and records
Source: NOAA NCEI
Highest maximum temperature by county
| County | Station | Temperature (°C) | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manatee | Ft Green 12 WSW | 37.2 | 2026-09-11 |
| Monroe | Bahia Honda Sp | 37.2 | 2026-09-05 |
| Collier | Everglades City 5 NE | 36.8 | 2026-09-05 |
| Jackson | Marianna 7 NE | 36.7 | 2026-09-03 |
| Lake | Clermont 9 S | 36.7 | 2026-09-15 |
| Leon | Tallahassee AP | 36.7 | 2026-09-15 |
| Miami-Dade | Homestead Gen Aviation AP | 36.7 | 2026-09-13 |
| Broward | Ft Lauderdale Beach | 36.1 | 2026-09-24 |
| Marion | Ocala | 36.1 | 2026-09-14 |
| Orange | Orlando Intl AP | 36.1 | 2026-09-10 |
| Washington | Chipley | 36.1 | 2026-09-15 |
| Okaloosa | Valparaiso Eglin Afb | 36.0 | 2026-09-15 |
| Highlands | Sebring 23 SSE | 35.7 | 2026-09-10 |
| Brevard | Palm Bay | 35.6 | 2026-09-06 |
| Hendry | Big Cypress | 35.6 | 2026-09-09 |
| Hillsborough | Plant City | 35.6 | 2026-09-10 |
| Polk | Winter Haven Gilbert AP | 35.6 | 2026-09-12 |
| St. Lucie | Ft Pierce | 35.6 | 2026-09-06 |
| Seminole | Sanford | 35.6 | 2026-09-15 |
| Bay | Nw Florida Beaches Intl AP | 35.0 | 2026-09-02 |
The 20 most extreme of 48.
Source: NOAA NCEI
Lowest minimum temperature by county
| County | Station | Temperature (°C) | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadsden | Quincy 3 SSW | 12.2 | 2026-09-28 |
| Leon | Tallahassee AP | 12.2 | 2026-09-28 |
| Columbia | Lake City 2 E | 12.8 | 2026-09-26 |
| Jackson | Marianna 7 NE | 12.8 | 2026-09-28 |
| Okaloosa | Crestview Faa/Ap | 12.8 | 2026-09-28 |
| Baker | Glen St Mary 1 W | 13.3 | 2026-09-28 |
| Holmes | Bonifay Tri Co AP | 13.3 | 2026-09-28 |
| Duval | Jacksonville | 13.9 | 2026-09-27 |
| Jefferson | Monticello 10 SW | 13.9 | 2026-09-26 |
| Lafayette | Mayo | 13.9 | 2026-09-28 |
| Lake | Mt Plymouth 1SSW | 13.9 | 2026-09-27 |
| Volusia | Deland 1 SSE | 13.9 | 2026-09-28 |
| Brevard | Scottsmoor 2.5 SSW | 14.4 | 2026-09-28 |
| Citrus | Inverness 3 SE | 14.4 | 2026-09-30 |
| Hernando | Brooksville Hernando Co AP | 14.4 | 2026-09-27 |
| St. Johns | Hastings 4NE | 14.4 | 2026-09-29 |
| Washington | Chipley | 14.4 | 2026-09-28 |
| Hardee | Wauchula | 15.0 | 2026-09-28 |
| Santa Rosa | Whiting Fld Nas S | 15.0 | 2026-09-28 |
| Alachua | Gainesville Rgnl AP | 15.6 | 2026-09-25 |
The 20 most extreme of 48.
Source: NOAA NCEI
Station records broken
| Station | County | Variable | New value | Date | Previous record | Previous date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ft Lauderdale Beach | Broward | Highest maximum temperature | 36.1 | 2026-09-24 | 35.6 | 1958-09-22 |
| N Miami Beach #2 | Miami-Dade | Highest maximum temperature | 36.7 | 2026-09-10 | 35.0 | 2014-09-30 |
Most extreme daily value of the period against the same period in all earlier years of record (at least 20 years; for weeks, the same calendar month).
Source: NOAA NCEI
Climate-extremes indices (statewide mean)
| Index | Description | Value | Normal | Difference | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TX90p | Warm days (Tmax > 90th percentile) | 16.7 | 10.0 | 6.7 | % |
| TN90p | Warm nights (Tmin > 90th percentile) | 24.9 | 10.0 | 14.9 | % |
| TX10p | Cool days (Tmax < 10th percentile) | 4.1 | 10.0 | −5.9 | % |
| TN10p | Cold nights (Tmin < 10th percentile) | 9.2 | 10.0 | −0.8 | % |
| FD | Frost days (Tmin < 0 °C) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | d |
| SU | Summer days (Tmax > 25 °C) | 29.9 | 29.8 | 0.2 | d |
| TR | Tropical nights (Tmin > 20 °C) | 25.4 | 25.2 | 0.3 | d |
| WSDI | Warm spell days (≥ 6 days) | 0.1 | — | — | d |
| CSDI | Cold spell days (≥ 6 days) | 0.0 | — | — | d |
| Rx1day | Maximum 1-day precipitation | 21.7 | 43.0 | −21.3 | mm |
| Rx5day | Maximum 5-day precipitation | 50.3 | 83.9 | −33.6 | mm |
| CDD | Consecutive dry days (< 1 mm) | 6.2 | 7.2 | −1.0 | d |
| CWD | Consecutive wet days (≥ 1 mm) | 10.2 | 6.5 | 3.7 | d |
Percentile indices relative to calendar-day percentiles of 1991–2020 (5-day window); counts and maxima averaged over the state's grid cells.
Source: NOAA NCEI
Heat and cold waves
| Dates | Type | Details |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 – 2026-09-29 | Cold wave | Up to 76% of the state below the 10th percentile of Tmin. Regions: North, North Central, South Central and South Florida. |
Wave: at least 3 consecutive days with at least half of the state above the 90th percentile of maximum temperature (heat) or below the 10th percentile of minimum temperature (cold). At most the 10 most intense are listed.
Source: NOAA NCEI
6 Drought
U.S. Drought Monitor, 29 September 2026

Source: National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA
Share of the state by drought category, weekly U.S. Drought Monitor maps (%)
| Map of | None (%) | D0–D4 (%) | D1–D4 (%) | D2–D4 (%) | D3–D4 (%) | D4 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 8.8 | 91.2 | 66.2 | 29.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-08 | 9.7 | 90.3 | 58.7 | 15.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-15 | 9.7 | 90.3 | 54.5 | 13.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-22 | 12.3 | 87.7 | 50.8 | 12.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026-09-29 | 11.4 | 88.6 | 52.4 | 12.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
Cumulative shares: D1–D4 is the share in moderate drought or worse.
Source: National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA
Counties with the most severe drought, U.S. Drought Monitor of 29 September 2026 (% of the county)
| County | D0–D4 (%) | D1–D4 (%) | D2–D4 (%) | D3–D4 (%) | D4 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manatee | 100.0 | 100.0 | 73.9 | 44.5 | 0.0 |
| Hillsborough | 100.0 | 100.0 | 65.2 | 21.2 | 0.0 |
| Hardee | 100.0 | 100.0 | 91.0 | 15.3 | 0.0 |
| Pinellas | 100.0 | 100.0 | 99.8 | 14.1 | 0.0 |
| Columbia | 100.0 | 70.0 | 19.2 | 14.1 | 0.0 |
| DeSoto | 100.0 | 100.0 | 24.7 | 9.5 | 0.0 |
| Gilchrist | 100.0 | 80.7 | 20.1 | 9.1 | 0.0 |
| Highlands | 100.0 | 100.0 | 24.8 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
| Sarasota | 100.0 | 100.0 | 51.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| Alachua | 100.0 | 100.0 | 17.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
Cumulative shares: D1–D4 is the share in moderate drought or worse.
Source: National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA
Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) ending September 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI
Share of the state by SPI category

Source: NOAA NCEI
Counties with the lowest SPI-3
| County | SPI-1 | SPI-3 | SPI-6 | SPI-12 | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker | −0.6 | −1.2 | −0.7 | −2.1 | Moderate drought |
| Nassau | −0.9 | −1.2 | −0.6 | −1.7 | Moderate drought |
| Gadsden | −0.6 | −1.0 | −0.5 | −1.8 | Moderate drought |
| Hamilton | −0.6 | −1.0 | −0.7 | −2.0 | Mild drought |
| Monroe | 0.1 | −1.0 | −1.4 | −1.9 | Mild drought |
| Leon | −0.8 | −1.0 | −0.9 | −2.2 | Mild drought |
| Levy | −0.5 | −1.0 | −1.2 | −2.3 | Mild drought |
| Duval | −0.8 | −0.9 | −0.6 | −1.6 | Mild drought |
| Charlotte | −0.6 | −0.9 | −1.1 | −1.7 | Mild drought |
| Lee | −0.6 | −0.9 | −0.9 | −1.7 | Mild drought |
Source: NOAA NCEI
U.S. Drought Monitor, map of 29 September 2026: 52% of the state in drought (D1–D4), 13% in severe drought or worse (D2–D4) and 2% in extreme or exceptional drought (D3–D4); 89% was abnormally dry or in drought (D0–D4).
On the map of 25 August 2026, 67% of the state was in drought: a change of −15 points over the period.
Counties with the largest share in severe drought or worse (D2–D4): Pinellas (100%), Hardee (91%) and Manatee (74%).
SPI-3 (Jul–Sep 2026): statewide mean −0.51; 15% of the state in drought (SPI ≤ −1.0) and 1% in severe or extreme drought.
Most affected counties: Baker (−1.21), Nassau (−1.20) and Gadsden (−1.04).
SPI-1 (September 2026): 1% of the state in drought.
SPI-6 (Apr–Sep 2026): 28% of the state in drought.
SPI-12 (Oct 2025–Sep 2026): 78% of the state in drought.
7 Severe weather and notable events
No tropical cyclone came within 300 km of the state.
9 Outlook
Outlook for October 2026: most likely tercile

Source: NOAA CPC
Outlook for Oct–Dec 2026: most likely tercile

Source: NOAA CPC
Probability of each tercile by region, Oct–Dec 2026 (%)
| Region | Precipitation: below | Precipitation: normal | Precipitation: above | Temp.: below | Temp.: normal | Temp.: above |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest | 8.0 | 21.0 | 71.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 |
| North | 9.0 | 25.0 | 66.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 50.0 |
| North Central | 17.0 | 29.0 | 54.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 49.0 |
| South Central | 19.0 | 29.0 | 52.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 57.0 |
| South Florida | 25.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 64.0 |
Source: NOAA CPC
ENSO outlook: probability of each phase (%)

Source: NOAA CPC
Probabilistic outlook from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME), initialised in October 2026, relative to 1991–2020 terciles. It is not an official forecast: consult the National Weather Service and NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.
Precipitation, October 2026: above normal is favoured over 100% of the state and below normal over 0%.
Mean temperature, October 2026: above normal is favoured over 100% of the state and below normal over 0%.
Precipitation, Oct–Dec 2026: above normal is favoured over 96% of the state and below normal over 0%.
Mean temperature, Oct–Dec 2026: above normal is favoured over 97% of the state and below normal over 0%.
Probability of El Niño in the official ENSO outlook: SON 100%, OND 100%, NDJ 100% and DJF 100%.
10 Annexes
Report climate regions

Monthly precipitation by county (mm)
| County | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alachua | 32.7 | 38.6 | 21.1 | 15.2 | 156.5 | 102.0 | 122.7 | 265.4 | 81.6 |
| Baker | 41.8 | 43.0 | 36.1 | 23.1 | 192.6 | 125.3 | 88.0 | 193.8 | 88.7 |
| Bay | 61.9 | 72.5 | 35.9 | 27.6 | 277.2 | 169.9 | 136.5 | 174.6 | 100.3 |
| Bradford | 33.9 | 35.3 | 32.4 | 18.9 | 175.0 | 107.0 | 110.6 | 236.0 | 88.7 |
| Brevard | 13.1 | 44.4 | 72.7 | 110.4 | 71.0 | 202.2 | 191.5 | 168.9 | 131.8 |
| Broward | 32.8 | 3.1 | 112.9 | 86.9 | 141.4 | 85.5 | 160.7 | 147.0 | 352.4 |
| Calhoun | 66.7 | 67.9 | 34.2 | 33.8 | 246.3 | 188.6 | 104.0 | 163.8 | 87.4 |
| Charlotte | 19.5 | 27.9 | 88.1 | 57.3 | 120.6 | 134.9 | 197.2 | 165.9 | 140.4 |
| Citrus | 23.3 | 59.2 | 42.8 | 30.1 | 152.0 | 81.7 | 170.2 | 245.8 | 138.0 |
| Clay | 33.7 | 30.6 | 48.4 | 28.2 | 138.9 | 124.4 | 115.2 | 200.2 | 101.9 |
| Collier | 21.9 | 8.7 | 55.6 | 56.5 | 150.6 | 146.4 | 197.9 | 144.5 | 210.9 |
| Columbia | 35.8 | 51.8 | 30.3 | 28.9 | 172.7 | 141.6 | 97.5 | 215.0 | 81.2 |
| DeSoto | 18.9 | 32.5 | 80.7 | 58.8 | 86.5 | 112.2 | 198.8 | 171.0 | 134.0 |
| Dixie | 35.8 | 54.7 | 21.8 | 20.7 | 135.8 | 118.5 | 119.7 | 260.6 | 79.9 |
| Duval | 41.1 | 26.0 | 51.6 | 29.8 | 140.0 | 148.1 | 97.5 | 171.4 | 105.9 |
| Escambia | 69.6 | 61.6 | 47.2 | 38.0 | 244.8 | 202.9 | 137.6 | 143.4 | 114.8 |
| Flagler | 18.6 | 44.6 | 55.0 | 38.5 | 145.4 | 153.6 | 127.3 | 167.8 | 101.3 |
| Franklin | 47.1 | 57.7 | 39.8 | 11.2 | 249.6 | 131.4 | 213.6 | 165.9 | 70.7 |
| Gadsden | 81.0 | 52.1 | 35.5 | 30.6 | 168.1 | 173.2 | 92.6 | 154.0 | 67.7 |
| Gilchrist | 34.0 | 48.9 | 20.1 | 23.8 | 162.5 | 117.1 | 105.1 | 263.0 | 77.9 |
| Glades | 10.0 | 16.1 | 86.9 | 63.6 | 98.5 | 94.8 | 200.4 | 120.7 | 140.6 |
| Gulf | 47.3 | 60.7 | 39.3 | 16.3 | 258.2 | 149.4 | 193.4 | 166.8 | 78.9 |
| Hamilton | 41.9 | 43.7 | 28.0 | 21.0 | 129.3 | 167.2 | 85.8 | 188.1 | 72.1 |
| Hardee | 18.6 | 32.8 | 56.1 | 61.3 | 68.4 | 95.9 | 224.5 | 185.1 | 133.4 |
| Hendry | 12.5 | 9.1 | 65.6 | 76.5 | 151.7 | 111.7 | 174.8 | 130.5 | 178.4 |
| Hernando | 22.2 | 41.9 | 46.7 | 28.9 | 149.4 | 52.8 | 216.9 | 285.1 | 167.6 |
| Highlands | 17.1 | 30.2 | 70.7 | 64.3 | 50.6 | 90.6 | 215.1 | 142.6 | 136.6 |
| Hillsborough | 22.6 | 42.4 | 48.4 | 39.1 | 121.7 | 69.7 | 240.2 | 231.7 | 146.9 |
| Holmes | 58.7 | 99.0 | 44.7 | 37.8 | 363.9 | 231.2 | 109.0 | 157.7 | 93.5 |
| Indian River | 14.7 | 56.3 | 64.3 | 175.3 | 90.9 | 188.3 | 240.4 | 127.7 | 148.1 |
| Jackson | 75.2 | 80.4 | 31.8 | 38.9 | 259.8 | 208.3 | 77.9 | 143.9 | 83.6 |
| Jefferson | 57.0 | 58.3 | 36.9 | 9.0 | 125.4 | 120.0 | 148.9 | 168.1 | 58.6 |
| Lafayette | 36.3 | 67.6 | 33.2 | 16.3 | 150.0 | 128.3 | 158.6 | 244.0 | 75.9 |
| Lake | 20.1 | 40.1 | 51.1 | 35.0 | 139.7 | 95.0 | 174.5 | 157.3 | 124.5 |
| Lee | 20.4 | 16.6 | 60.9 | 59.6 | 134.4 | 150.2 | 212.7 | 154.8 | 154.3 |
| Leon | 74.4 | 49.1 | 37.5 | 15.8 | 143.0 | 132.2 | 132.0 | 151.0 | 59.4 |
| Levy | 34.0 | 46.7 | 18.1 | 24.9 | 135.3 | 98.9 | 95.7 | 251.6 | 86.9 |
| Liberty | 63.9 | 57.9 | 36.6 | 24.7 | 222.7 | 168.6 | 140.1 | 164.6 | 77.0 |
| Madison | 42.1 | 61.2 | 33.5 | 11.9 | 126.4 | 136.6 | 135.0 | 188.7 | 61.3 |
| Manatee | 22.2 | 41.3 | 63.3 | 42.5 | 119.2 | 60.5 | 223.6 | 207.1 | 140.1 |
| Marion | 28.1 | 63.5 | 39.0 | 23.8 | 121.8 | 106.4 | 142.9 | 187.7 | 101.9 |
| Martin | 13.8 | 33.9 | 73.2 | 149.9 | 124.7 | 143.0 | 191.1 | 105.1 | 178.5 |
| Miami-Dade | 29.8 | 3.4 | 112.4 | 69.7 | 116.6 | 106.6 | 146.7 | 139.2 | 277.1 |
| Monroe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nassau | 48.1 | 31.3 | 44.1 | 22.8 | 167.8 | 150.5 | 91.5 | 173.0 | 93.4 |
| Okaloosa | 82.7 | 75.6 | 41.2 | 23.5 | 328.6 | 163.5 | 135.4 | 188.6 | 120.2 |
| Okeechobee | 14.7 | 39.8 | 70.1 | 119.8 | 89.7 | 146.2 | 246.6 | 120.7 | 139.4 |
| Orange | 18.6 | 27.5 | 50.4 | 50.7 | 82.7 | 125.7 | 168.5 | 188.2 | 112.2 |
| Osceola | 16.6 | 40.9 | 68.8 | 101.7 | 58.8 | 129.8 | 185.8 | 151.5 | 121.7 |
| Palm Beach | 16.6 | 12.2 | 102.9 | 117.6 | 141.7 | 98.9 | 170.4 | 125.1 | 291.0 |
| Pasco | 25.4 | 37.6 | 42.1 | 32.6 | 144.6 | 48.8 | 234.3 | 273.3 | 164.1 |
| Pinellas | 22.3 | 41.3 | 51.4 | 40.7 | 126.0 | 54.8 | 208.9 | 262.6 | 140.6 |
| Polk | 22.4 | 36.3 | 50.8 | 70.6 | 75.3 | 113.0 | 241.4 | 180.7 | 141.2 |
| Putnam | 25.9 | 42.5 | 50.9 | 28.5 | 121.0 | 125.1 | 137.8 | 187.9 | 105.1 |
| St. Johns | 27.5 | 39.1 | 53.2 | 31.4 | 110.3 | 134.8 | 122.8 | 153.7 | 117.4 |
| St. Lucie | 16.9 | 51.5 | 66.1 | 175.0 | 127.7 | 181.2 | 241.2 | 124.2 | 148.0 |
| Santa Rosa | 79.5 | 73.9 | 46.0 | 24.9 | 280.0 | 159.3 | 149.5 | 173.5 | 117.2 |
| Sarasota | 26.7 | 42.5 | 70.8 | 42.7 | 130.6 | 64.0 | 225.0 | 200.0 | 147.2 |
| Seminole | 18.5 | 26.8 | 51.4 | 37.8 | 83.2 | 151.3 | 187.3 | 198.1 | 106.8 |
| Sumter | 21.7 | 51.6 | 45.3 | 30.3 | 166.3 | 79.1 | 174.8 | 186.8 | 145.4 |
| Suwannee | 36.5 | 58.0 | 32.9 | 20.9 | 157.1 | 145.1 | 131.3 | 220.9 | 75.3 |
| Taylor | 39.4 | 70.1 | 34.5 | 6.7 | 105.3 | 115.2 | 192.5 | 226.2 | 71.8 |
| Union | 32.6 | 45.6 | 31.0 | 25.4 | 187.7 | 112.4 | 101.0 | 230.6 | 85.7 |
| Volusia | 17.4 | 33.0 | 55.9 | 38.9 | 135.2 | 159.7 | 166.4 | 205.6 | 98.4 |
| Wakulla | 65.3 | 52.7 | 37.5 | 13.1 | 158.4 | 130.3 | 167.8 | 165.7 | 66.2 |
| Walton | 75.8 | 82.2 | 40.7 | 25.9 | 355.0 | 189.0 | 131.5 | 185.0 | 113.0 |
| Washington | 67.8 | 92.6 | 37.6 | 40.7 | 326.7 | 198.4 | 101.6 | 157.3 | 100.1 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Monthly maximum temperature by region (°C)
| Region | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest | 17.8 | 20.2 | 25.0 | 27.4 | 29.0 | 31.7 | 33.8 | 33.4 | 32.1 |
| North | 19.2 | 20.8 | 26.1 | 28.7 | 30.5 | 33.2 | 34.4 | 33.5 | 31.8 |
| North Central | 21.2 | 22.0 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 32.0 | 33.4 | 33.8 | 33.5 | 31.9 |
| South Central | 22.9 | 23.2 | 28.1 | 28.8 | 32.7 | 33.8 | 34.0 | 33.9 | 32.2 |
| South Florida | 24.8 | 25.3 | 29.1 | 29.3 | 33.1 | 33.8 | 34.3 | 34.4 | 32.6 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Monthly mean temperature by region (°C)
| Region | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest | 11.1 | 13.3 | 18.4 | 20.5 | 23.5 | 26.9 | 28.5 | 28.2 | 26.6 |
| North | 12.1 | 13.2 | 18.9 | 21.3 | 24.7 | 27.4 | 28.8 | 28.2 | 26.4 |
| North Central | 14.4 | 14.6 | 21.0 | 22.3 | 26.4 | 28.0 | 28.8 | 28.6 | 27.1 |
| South Central | 16.0 | 15.8 | 22.1 | 23.2 | 27.1 | 28.5 | 28.9 | 29.0 | 27.5 |
| South Florida | 18.6 | 18.2 | 23.4 | 24.4 | 27.6 | 28.8 | 29.5 | 29.6 | 27.9 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Monthly minimum temperature by region (°C)
| Region | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwest | 4.4 | 6.4 | 11.7 | 13.6 | 18.1 | 22.0 | 23.2 | 23.1 | 21.2 |
| North | 4.9 | 5.5 | 11.8 | 14.0 | 18.9 | 21.7 | 23.2 | 22.8 | 21.1 |
| North Central | 7.6 | 7.3 | 14.7 | 16.1 | 20.8 | 22.6 | 23.7 | 23.6 | 22.2 |
| South Central | 9.1 | 8.3 | 16.0 | 17.6 | 21.5 | 23.2 | 23.9 | 24.0 | 22.9 |
| South Florida | 12.5 | 11.2 | 17.8 | 19.4 | 22.2 | 23.8 | 24.8 | 24.8 | 23.2 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
Stations used
| Id | Name | County | Latitude | Longitude | Altitude (m) | Days with data (Tmax) (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC00080211 | Apalachicola AP | Franklin | 29.7 | −85.0 | 6.1 | 100.0 |
| USC00080236 | Archbold Bio Stn | Highlands | 27.2 | −81.4 | 41.5 | 30.0 |
| USC00080414 | Bahia Honda Sp | Monroe | 24.7 | −81.3 | 2.4 | 97.0 |
| USC00080478 | Bartow 1SE | Polk | 27.9 | −81.8 | 34.1 | 0.0 |
| USC00080737 | Big Cypress | Hendry | 26.3 | −81.0 | 4.6 | 100.0 |
| USC00080945 | Bradenton 5 ESE | Manatee | 27.4 | −82.5 | 5.2 | 77.0 |
| USC00081276 | Canal Pt Usda | Palm Beach | 26.9 | −80.6 | 9.1 | 70.0 |
| USC00081306 | Cape Florida | Miami-Dade | 25.7 | −80.2 | 1.8 | 100.0 |
| USC00081544 | Chipley | Washington | 30.8 | −85.6 | 39.6 | 93.0 |
| USC00081641 | Clermont 9 S | Lake | 28.5 | −81.7 | 39.6 | 93.0 |
| USC00082046 | Curry Hammock Sp | Monroe | 24.7 | −81.0 | 1.2 | 90.0 |
| USC00082150 | Daytona Beach | Volusia | 29.2 | −81.0 | 8.8 | 97.0 |
| USC00082229 | Deland 1 SSE | Volusia | 29.0 | −81.3 | 7.6 | 90.0 |
| USC00082298 | Devils Garden | Hendry | 26.7 | −81.1 | 7.9 | 0.0 |
| USC00082418 | Dry Tortugas | Monroe | 24.6 | −82.9 | 0.9 | 80.0 |
| USC00082944 | Fernandina Beach | Nassau | 30.7 | −81.5 | 14.9 | 60.0 |
| USC00083153 | Ft Green 12 WSW | Manatee | 27.6 | −82.1 | 34.1 | 100.0 |
| USC00083163 | Ft Lauderdale | Broward | 26.1 | −80.2 | 4.9 | 97.0 |
| USC00083168 | Ft Lauderdale Beach | Broward | 26.1 | −80.1 | 1.2 | 83.0 |
| USC00083207 | Ft Pierce | St. Lucie | 27.4 | −80.4 | 7.6 | 100.0 |
| USC00083470 | Glen St Mary 1 W | Baker | 30.3 | −82.2 | 39.0 | 93.0 |
| USC00083874 | Hastings 4NE | St. Johns | 29.8 | −81.5 | 3.0 | 100.0 |
| USC00083909 | Hialeah | Miami-Dade | 25.8 | −80.3 | 3.7 | 93.0 |
| USC00083986 | Hillsborough Rvr Sp | Hillsborough | 28.1 | −82.2 | 16.2 | 0.0 |
| USC00084050 | Hollywood | Broward | 26.0 | −80.1 | 2.7 | 93.0 |
| USC00084095 | Homestead Gen Aviation AP | Miami-Dade | 25.5 | −80.5 | 2.7 | 90.0 |
| USC00084289 | Inverness 3 SE | Citrus | 28.8 | −82.3 | 17.7 | 97.0 |
| USC00084366 | Jacksonville Beach | Duval | 30.3 | −81.4 | 3.0 | 100.0 |
| USC00084394 | Jasper | Hamilton | 30.5 | −82.9 | 39.6 | 0.0 |
| USC00084412 | John Pennekamp Sp | Monroe | 25.2 | −80.3 | 1.8 | 93.0 |
| USC00084461 | Juno Beach | Palm Beach | 26.9 | −80.1 | 1.5 | 30.0 |
| USC00084500 | Kenansville | Osceola | 27.9 | −81.0 | 18.6 | 47.0 |
| USC00084571 | Key W Wfo | Monroe | 24.6 | −81.8 | 1.2 | 97.0 |
| USC00084621 | Kissimmee Prairie Preserve | Okeechobee | 27.6 | −81.1 | 21.9 | 0.0 |
| USC00084625 | Kissimmee 2 | Osceola | 28.3 | −81.4 | 18.3 | 93.0 |
| USC00084731 | Lake City 2 E | Columbia | 30.2 | −82.6 | 59.4 | 47.0 |
| USC00084802 | Lakeland 2 | Polk | 28.0 | −82.0 | 42.4 | 0.0 |
| USC00085076 | Lisbon | Lake | 28.9 | −81.8 | 20.7 | 87.0 |
| USC00085359 | Marco Is | Collier | 25.9 | −81.7 | 3.0 | 100.0 |
| USC00085377 | Marianna 7 NE | Jackson | 30.7 | −85.0 | 35.1 | 70.0 |
| USC00085539 | Mayo | Lafayette | 30.1 | −83.2 | 25.3 | 40.0 |
| USC00085612 | Melbourne Wfo | Brevard | 28.1 | −80.7 | 10.7 | 97.0 |
| USC00085667 | Miami Nwsfo | Miami-Dade | 25.8 | −80.4 | 4.3 | 100.0 |
| USC00085880 | Monticello 10 SW | Jefferson | 30.4 | −84.0 | 66.8 | 90.0 |
| USC00085895 | Moore Haven Lock 1 | Glades | 26.8 | −81.1 | 10.7 | 100.0 |
| USC00086048 | Muse | Glades | 26.8 | −81.5 | 13.1 | 0.0 |
| USC00086078 | Naples | Collier | 26.2 | −81.7 | 12.2 | 0.0 |
| USC00086092 | Nettles Is | St. Lucie | 27.3 | −80.2 | 3.0 | 60.0 |
| USC00086240 | Niceville | Okaloosa | 30.5 | −86.5 | 22.6 | 100.0 |
| USC00086315 | N Miami Beach #2 | Miami-Dade | 25.9 | −80.2 | 3.0 | 87.0 |
| USC00086319 | N Port | Sarasota | 27.0 | −82.2 | 3.7 | 0.0 |
| USC00086414 | Ocala | Marion | 29.2 | −82.1 | 22.9 | 97.0 |
| USC00086634 | Orlando W | Orange | 28.5 | −81.5 | 45.7 | 97.0 |
| USC00086761 | Palm Bay | Brevard | 27.9 | −80.6 | 8.2 | 93.0 |
| USC00086764 | Palm Beach Gardens | Palm Beach | 26.8 | −80.1 | 6.1 | 93.0 |
| USC00086767 | Palm Coast 6NE | Flagler | 29.6 | −81.2 | 1.5 | 87.0 |
| USC00086999 | Pensacola 7 NNE | Escambia | 30.5 | −87.2 | 34.7 | 100.0 |
| USC00087025 | Perry | Taylor | 30.1 | −83.6 | 13.7 | 0.0 |
| USC00087205 | Plant City | Hillsborough | 28.0 | −82.1 | 33.2 | 100.0 |
| USC00087228 | Mt Plymouth 1SSW | Lake | 28.8 | −81.5 | 27.4 | 100.0 |
| USC00087261 | New Smyrna Bch - Marine Discov | Volusia | 29.0 | −80.9 | 4.9 | 90.0 |
| USC00087304 | Port Salerno 5W | Martin | 27.1 | −80.3 | 3.7 | 100.0 |
| USC00087429 | Quincy 3 SSW | Gadsden | 30.5 | −84.6 | 72.2 | 23.0 |
| USC00087760 | Royal Palm Rs | Miami-Dade | 25.4 | −80.6 | 2.1 | 100.0 |
| USC00087826 | St Augustine Wtp | St. Johns | 29.9 | −81.3 | 3.7 | 53.0 |
| USC00087851 | Saint Leo | Pasco | 28.3 | −82.3 | 52.7 | 0.0 |
| USC00087887 | St Petersburg 2 | Pinellas | 27.8 | −82.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 |
| USC00087982 | Sanford | Seminole | 28.8 | −81.3 | 3.7 | 83.0 |
| USC00088051 | Scottsmoor 2.5 SSW | Brevard | 28.7 | −80.9 | 12.8 | 90.0 |
| USC00088368 | S Bay 15 S | Palm Beach | 26.5 | −80.6 | 6.1 | 53.0 |
| USC00088620 | Stuart | Martin | 27.2 | −80.2 | 4.0 | 100.0 |
| USC00088756 | Tallahassee AP | Leon | 30.4 | −84.4 | 16.8 | 97.0 |
| USC00088782 | Tampa Bay Area Wfo | Hillsborough | 27.7 | −82.4 | 12.2 | 100.0 |
| USC00088784 | Tampa 6 NE | Hillsborough | 28.1 | −82.5 | 13.4 | 0.0 |
| USC00088824 | Tarpon Spgs Sewage Plt | Pinellas | 28.2 | −82.8 | 1.8 | 27.0 |
| USC00088942 | Titusville | Brevard | 28.6 | −80.8 | 4.9 | 97.0 |
| USC00089120 | Usher Twr | Levy | 29.4 | −82.8 | 10.1 | 100.0 |
| USC00089176 | Venice | Sarasota | 27.1 | −82.4 | 2.4 | 87.0 |
| USC00089219 | Vero Beach 4SE | Indian River | 27.7 | −80.4 | 6.1 | 60.0 |
| USC00089401 | Wauchula | Hardee | 27.5 | −81.8 | 18.3 | 53.0 |
| USC00089795 | Woodruff Dam | Jackson | 30.7 | −84.9 | 32.6 | 0.0 |
| USW00003818 | Marianna Muni AP | Jackson | 30.8 | −85.2 | 32.6 | 100.0 |
| USW00003852 | Valparaiso Hurlburt Fld | Okaloosa | 30.4 | −86.7 | 11.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00003853 | Mayport Pilot Stn | Duval | 30.4 | −81.4 | 4.9 | 37.0 |
| USW00003855 | Pensacola Forest Sherman Nas | Escambia | 30.4 | −87.3 | 8.5 | 40.0 |
| USW00012809 | Bartow Muni AP | Polk | 27.9 | −81.8 | 57.0 | 0.0 |
| USW00012810 | Macdill Afb | Hillsborough | 27.9 | −82.5 | 7.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00012812 | Punta Gorda Charlotte Co AP | Charlotte | 26.9 | −82.0 | 6.1 | 100.0 |
| USW00012815 | Orlando Intl AP | Orange | 28.4 | −81.3 | 27.1 | 100.0 |
| USW00012816 | Gainesville Rgnl AP | Alachua | 29.7 | −82.3 | 40.5 | 100.0 |
| USW00012818 | Brooksville Hernando Co AP | Hernando | 28.5 | −82.5 | 19.8 | 100.0 |
| USW00012819 | Leesburg Muni AP | Lake | 28.8 | −81.8 | 20.7 | 100.0 |
| USW00012826 | Homestead Afb | Miami-Dade | 25.5 | −80.4 | 4.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00012832 | Apalachicola AP | Franklin | 29.7 | −85.0 | 5.5 | 100.0 |
| USW00012834 | Daytona Beach Intl AP | Volusia | 29.2 | −81.1 | 7.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00012835 | Ft Myers Page Fld AP | Lee | 26.6 | −81.9 | 4.0 | 100.0 |
| USW00012836 | Key W Intl AP | Monroe | 24.6 | −81.8 | 0.3 | 100.0 |
| USW00012838 | Melbourne Intl AP | Brevard | 28.1 | −80.6 | 6.7 | 97.0 |
| USW00012839 | Miami Intl AP | Miami-Dade | 25.8 | −80.3 | 1.5 | 100.0 |
| USW00012841 | Orlando Executive AP | Orange | 28.5 | −81.3 | 31.7 | 100.0 |
| USW00012842 | Tampa Intl AP | Hillsborough | 28.0 | −82.5 | 1.8 | 100.0 |
| USW00012843 | Vero Beach Intl AP | Indian River | 27.7 | −80.4 | 5.8 | 100.0 |
| USW00012844 | W Palm Beach Intl AP | Palm Beach | 26.7 | −80.1 | 3.7 | 100.0 |
| USW00012849 | Ft Lauderdale Intl AP | Broward | 26.1 | −80.2 | 0.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00012850 | Key West Nas | Monroe | 24.6 | −81.7 | 1.8 | 100.0 |
| USW00012854 | Orlando Sanford AP | Seminole | 28.8 | −81.2 | 14.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00012861 | Ocala Jim Taylor Fld | Marion | 29.2 | −82.2 | 26.5 | 0.0 |
| USW00012867 | Cocoa Beach Patrick Afb | Brevard | 28.2 | −80.6 | 3.0 | 100.0 |
| USW00012868 | Cape Kennedy Afs | Brevard | 28.5 | −80.6 | 4.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00012871 | Sarasota Bradenton AP | Manatee | 27.4 | −82.6 | 5.2 | 100.0 |
| USW00012873 | St Petersburg Clearwater Intl | Pinellas | 27.9 | −82.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
| USW00012876 | Winter Haven Gilbert AP | Polk | 28.1 | −81.8 | 43.6 | 100.0 |
| USW00012882 | Miami Opa Locka AP | Miami-Dade | 25.9 | −80.3 | 1.2 | 100.0 |
| USW00012883 | Lakeland Linder Rgnl AP | Polk | 28.0 | −82.0 | 45.1 | 100.0 |
| USW00012885 | Ft Lauderdale Executive AP | Broward | 26.2 | −80.2 | 3.7 | 100.0 |
| USW00012888 | Miami Kendall Tamiami Exec AP | Miami-Dade | 25.6 | −80.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| USW00012894 | Ft Myers SW Florida Rgnl AP | Lee | 26.5 | −81.8 | 8.2 | 100.0 |
| USW00012895 | Ft Pierce St Lucie Co Intl AP | St. Lucie | 27.5 | −80.4 | 5.8 | 100.0 |
| USW00012896 | Marathon AP | Monroe | 24.7 | −81.0 | 0.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00012897 | Naples Muni AP | Collier | 26.2 | −81.8 | 2.1 | 100.0 |
| USW00013846 | Tyndall Afb | Bay | 30.1 | −85.6 | 7.0 | 100.0 |
| USW00013858 | Valparaiso Eglin Afb | Okaloosa | 30.5 | −86.5 | 18.0 | 97.0 |
| USW00013884 | Crestview Faa/Ap | Okaloosa | 30.8 | −86.5 | 46.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00013889 | Jacksonville | Duval | 30.5 | −81.7 | 48.8 | 100.0 |
| USW00013899 | Pensacola Rgnl AP | Escambia | 30.5 | −87.2 | 36.0 | 100.0 |
| USW00053847 | Whiting Fld Nas S | Santa Rosa | 30.7 | −87.0 | 50.0 | 73.0 |
| USW00053848 | Choctaw Naval Outlying Fld Mil | Santa Rosa | 30.5 | −87.0 | 34.1 | 33.0 |
| USW00053853 | Destin Ft Walton Beach AP | Okaloosa | 30.4 | −86.5 | 5.5 | 100.0 |
| USW00053860 | Jacksonville Craig Muni AP | Duval | 30.3 | −81.5 | 11.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00063871 | Bonifay Tri Co AP | Holmes | 30.8 | −85.6 | 31.1 | 100.0 |
| USW00063890 | Jacksonville Whitehouse Naval | Duval | 30.4 | −81.9 | 27.1 | 100.0 |
| USW00073805 | Nw Florida Beaches Intl AP | Bay | 30.3 | −85.8 | 17.1 | 100.0 |
| USW00092805 | Pompano Beach Airpark | Broward | 26.2 | −80.1 | 4.6 | 100.0 |
| USW00092806 | St Petersburg Albert Whitted A | Pinellas | 27.8 | −82.6 | 1.2 | 100.0 |
| USW00092809 | Hollywood N Perry AP | Broward | 26.0 | −80.2 | 1.8 | 100.0 |
| USW00092811 | Miami Beach | Miami-Dade | 25.8 | −80.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
| USW00092814 | St Augustine AP | St. Johns | 30.0 | −81.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| USW00092821 | Titusville 7 E | Brevard | 28.6 | −80.7 | 0.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00092826 | Everglades City 5 NE | Collier | 25.9 | −81.3 | 1.2 | 100.0 |
| USW00092827 | Sebring 23 SSE | Highlands | 27.2 | −81.4 | 45.7 | 100.0 |
| USW00093805 | Tallahassee | Leon | 30.4 | −84.3 | 53.9 | 100.0 |
| USW00093837 | Jacksonville Nas | Duval | 30.2 | −81.7 | 6.1 | 93.0 |
| USW00093841 | Whiting Fld Nas | Santa Rosa | 30.7 | −87.0 | 60.7 | 77.0 |
Source: NOAA NCEI
11 Glossary, methodology and sources
Anomaly: difference between the observed value and its 1991–2020 normal. Percent of normal: observed total divided by the normal, times 100. Station record: most extreme daily value for the same month in all earlier years of record (at least 20 years).
Temperature: NOAA nClimGrid-Daily. Precipitation: NOAA nClimGrid-Daily. nClimGrid-Daily is the grid behind NOAA's official statewide values; it is averaged here from 1/24° to 1/8° (about 12 km). Mean temperature is (Tmax + Tmin)/2. Statewide, regional and county averages are weighted by the area of each grid cell inside each polygon. Temperature maps, frost days and annex tables are given by region; regions are NOAA NCEI climate divisions, with each county in the division of its centroid. Recent weeks use NCEI's preliminary file of the month; such reports are marked preliminary and updated when the final file is published. Normals refer to 1991-2020; ranks compare values rounded to one decimal. Stations: GHCN-Daily (NOAA NCEI) cooperative and first-order stations; values flagged by its quality control are discarded, as are daily values more than 5 robust standard deviations from the station median and variables whose monthly anomaly differs by more than 3 °C from the gridded analysis. Period means require at least 80% of days with data and station normals at least 20 complete years. This report is generated automatically and does not replace official information from the National Weather Service or the state climatologist.
| Source | Product | License | Citation |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOAA CPC | Official ENSO probabilities | Public domain (NOAA) | — |
| NOAA CPC | ONI, Niño-region SST indices (OISST v2.1), NAO and AO | Public domain (NOAA) | NOAA Climate Prediction Center climate indices. |
| NOAA NCEI / PSL | Extended Reconstructed SST v5 (ERSST v5), 2° | Public domain (NOAA) | Huang et al. (2017), J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0836.1 |
| GDACS | Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System event list | See provider terms | — |
| NOAA NCEI | GHCN-Daily | Public domain (NOAA) | Menne et al. (2012), J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-11-00103.1 |
| NOAA NCEI | IBTrACS v04r01 tropical-cyclone best tracks | Public domain (NOAA) | Knapp et al. (2010), Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2755.1 |
| NOAA NCEI | Pacific Decadal Oscillation index (ERSST v5) | Public domain (NOAA) | — |
| NOAA NCEI | nClimGrid-Daily, contiguous United States (1/24°, averaged here to 1/8°) | Public domain (NOAA) | Durre, I., et al. (2022). NOAA's nClimGrid-Daily Version 1. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. doi:10.25921/c4gt-r169 |
| NOAA CPC | North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) tercile probabilities, 1° | Public domain (NOAA) | Kirtman et al. (2014), Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00050.1 |
| NOAA PSL | Real-time OLR MJO Index (ROMI) | Public domain (NOAA) | Kiladis et al. (2014), Mon. Wea. Rev., doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00301.1 |
| National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA, NOAA | U.S. Drought Monitor, weekly maps and area statistics | Free to use with credit (NDMC) | The U.S. Drought Monitor is jointly produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Map courtesy of NDMC. |
| US Census Bureau TIGERweb | US Census Bureau, TIGERweb counties (generalised) | Public domain (US Government work) | — |
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